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Politics·US Election

Republican VP Nominee 2028

icon for Republican VP Nominee 2028
Politics·US Election

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Marco Rubio 26%

J.D. Vance 6%

Matt Gaetz 5.4%

Thomas Massie 5.4%

Polymarket

$23,318 Vol.

Marco Rubio 26%

J.D. Vance 6%

Matt Gaetz 5.4%

Thomas Massie 5.4%

Polymarket

$23,318 Vol.

Donald Trump

$524 Vol.

2%

J.D. Vance

$3,375 Vol.

6%

Marco Rubio

$2,215 Vol.

26%

Tulsi Gabbard

$652 Vol.

4%

Glenn Youngkin

$385 Vol.

4%

Donald Trump Jr.

$961 Vol.

5%

Ron DeSantis

$645 Vol.

4%

Nikki Haley

$699 Vol.

22%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$420 Vol.

17%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$552 Vol.

3%

Greg Abbott

$454 Vol.

3%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$892 Vol.

4%

Brian Kemp

$623 Vol.

4%

Byron Donalds

$689 Vol.

6%

Elise Stefanik

$472 Vol.

1%

Josh Hawley

$542 Vol.

4%

Ted Cruz

$755 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$436 Vol.

2%

Matt Gaetz

$534 Vol.

5%

Katie Britt

$450 Vol.

6%

John Thune

$848 Vol.

2%

Kristi Noem

$335 Vol.

1%

Mike Pence

$413 Vol.

2%

Tucker Carlson

$388 Vol.

5%

Ivanka Trump

$352 Vol.

4%

Tom Brady

$463 Vol.

5%

Rand Paul

$363 Vol.

1%

Steve Bannon

$315 Vol.

4%

Erika Kirk

$557 Vol.

2%

Kim Kardashian

$346 Vol.

2%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$532 Vol.

1%

Thomas Massie

$518 Vol.

5%

Eric Trump

$479 Vol.

3%

Joe Kent

$541 Vol.

22%

Pete Hegseth

$595 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the 2028 Republican vice presidential nominee remains fragmented, with no single figure exceeding 23% amid uncertainty over the eventual presidential nominee and shifting alignments within the party. Tucker Carlson, Marco Rubio, Ivanka Trump, Joe Kent, and Marjorie Taylor Greene cluster near the top due to their national profiles, media reach, and perceived alignment with Trump-era priorities, while lower-priced options like J.D. Vance reflect positioning as a likely presidential contender rather than running mate. Rubio’s role as secretary of state and Vance’s vice presidency provide institutional visibility that sustains their shares, yet the absence of formal endorsements or primary positioning keeps probabilities compressed. Midterm results, cabinet reshuffles, or early primary signals could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunners and preferred ticket balances.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$23,318
End Date
Aug 14, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the 2028 Republican vice presidential nominee remains fragmented, with no single figure exceeding 23% amid uncertainty over the eventual presidential nominee and shifting alignments within the party. Tucker Carlson, Marco Rubio, Ivanka Trump, Joe Kent, and Marjorie Taylor Greene cluster near the top due to their national profiles, media reach, and perceived alignment with Trump-era priorities, while lower-priced options like J.D. Vance reflect positioning as a likely presidential contender rather than running mate. Rubio’s role as secretary of state and Vance’s vice presidency provide institutional visibility that sustains their shares, yet the absence of formal endorsements or primary positioning keeps probabilities compressed. Midterm results, cabinet reshuffles, or early primary signals could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunners and preferred ticket balances.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$23,318
End Date
Aug 14, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican VP Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 26%, followed by "Nikki Haley" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Republican VP Nominee 2028" has generated $23.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Republican VP Nominee 2028," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" is "Marco Rubio" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nikki Haley" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.