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Politics·Global Elections

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Rand Paul 40%

Marjorie Taylor Greene 40%

Katie Britt 39%

Josh Hawley 39%

Polymarket
NEW

Rand Paul 40%

Marjorie Taylor Greene 40%

Katie Britt 39%

Josh Hawley 39%

Polymarket
NEW

Donald Trump

$3 Vol.

34%

J.D. Vance

$4 Vol.

27%

Marco Rubio

$3 Vol.

22%

Tulsi Gabbard

$3 Vol.

35%

Glenn Youngkin

$3 Vol.

36%

Donald Trump Jr.

$3 Vol.

32%

Ron DeSantis

$3 Vol.

36%

Nikki Haley

$3 Vol.

33%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$3 Vol.

37%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$3 Vol.

31%

Greg Abbott

$3 Vol.

34%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$3 Vol.

21%

Brian Kemp

$3 Vol.

36%

Byron Donalds

$3 Vol.

28%

Elise Stefanik

$3 Vol.

34%

Josh Hawley

$3 Vol.

39%

Ted Cruz

$3 Vol.

26%

Elon Musk

$3 Vol.

18%

Matt Gaetz

$3 Vol.

39%

Katie Britt

$3 Vol.

39%

John Thune

$3 Vol.

39%

Kristi Noem

$3 Vol.

38%

Mike Pence

$3 Vol.

33%

Tucker Carlson

$3 Vol.

16%

Ivanka Trump

$3 Vol.

26%

Tom Brady

$3 Vol.

11%

Rand Paul

$3 Vol.

40%

Steve Bannon

$3 Vol.

33%

Erika Kirk

$3 Vol.

37%

Kim Kardashian

$3 Vol.

8%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$3 Vol.

40%

Thomas Massie

$3 Vol.

39%

Eric Trump

$3 Vol.

38%

Joe Kent

$3 Vol.

33%

Pete Hegseth

$3 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the Republican vice presidential nominee for the 2028 ticket reflects an open-field presidential primary, with probabilities tightly clustered around 40% for Sen. Katie Britt, Gov. Ron DeSantis, Gov. Brian Kemp, Sen. John Thune, former VP Mike Pence, Sen. Rand Paul, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, Eric Trump, Nikki Haley, Sen. Josh Hawley, and Rep. Thomas Massie due to the absence of a dominant frontrunner and diverse factional appeals. President Trump's second term precludes his re-election, positioning VP J.D. Vance as a leading presidential contender per the late-March CPAC straw poll (53%) and recent Yale Youth Poll (43%), yet his running mate remains speculative amid balanced geographic, ideological, and demographic considerations. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to separate leaders; 2026 midterm outcomes, early primary polling, Trump endorsements, and fundraising surges could create clear separation.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$92
End Date
Aug 14, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on the Republican vice presidential nominee for the 2028 ticket reflects an open-field presidential primary, with probabilities tightly clustered around 40% for Sen. Katie Britt, Gov. Ron DeSantis, Gov. Brian Kemp, Sen. John Thune, former VP Mike Pence, Sen. Rand Paul, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, Eric Trump, Nikki Haley, Sen. Josh Hawley, and Rep. Thomas Massie due to the absence of a dominant frontrunner and diverse factional appeals. President Trump's second term precludes his re-election, positioning VP J.D. Vance as a leading presidential contender per the late-March CPAC straw poll (53%) and recent Yale Youth Poll (43%), yet his running mate remains speculative amid balanced geographic, ideological, and demographic considerations. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to separate leaders; 2026 midterm outcomes, early primary polling, Trump endorsements, and fundraising surges could create clear separation.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$92
End Date
Aug 14, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican VP Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rand Paul" at 40%, followed by "Marjorie Taylor Greene" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Republican VP Nominee 2028" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Republican VP Nominee 2028," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" is "Rand Paul" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marjorie Taylor Greene" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.