Incumbent Wesley Bell holds a clear edge in the August 4, 2026, Missouri Democratic primary for the 1st Congressional District, reflecting his strong fundraising lead and established position since defeating Cori Bush in the 2024 primary. Bell reported over $1.9 million raised through March 2026 compared with Bush’s roughly $845,000, supporting broader outreach in the heavily Democratic St. Louis-area district. A February 2026 poll showed Bell ahead by four points in a head-to-head matchup. Bush’s rematch effort focuses on mobilizing her core supporters, yet minor candidates and the open-primary format have not significantly altered the two-way contest. Trader consensus prices these structural advantages into Bell’s leading implied probability ahead of the filing deadline and summer campaign period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,673 交易量
$14,673 交易量
2026-08-04
韦斯利·贝尔
67%
科里·布什
32%
$14,673 交易量
$14,673 交易量
2026-08-04
韦斯利·贝尔
$8,224 交易量
67%
科里·布什
$6,449 交易量
32%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Wesley Bell holds a clear edge in the August 4, 2026, Missouri Democratic primary for the 1st Congressional District, reflecting his strong fundraising lead and established position since defeating Cori Bush in the 2024 primary. Bell reported over $1.9 million raised through March 2026 compared with Bush’s roughly $845,000, supporting broader outreach in the heavily Democratic St. Louis-area district. A February 2026 poll showed Bell ahead by four points in a head-to-head matchup. Bush’s rematch effort focuses on mobilizing her core supporters, yet minor candidates and the open-primary format have not significantly altered the two-way contest. Trader consensus prices these structural advantages into Bell’s leading implied probability ahead of the filing deadline and summer campaign period.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
交易量
$14,673结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Wesley Bell holds a clear edge in the August 4, 2026, Missouri Democratic primary for the 1st Congressional District, reflecting his strong fundraising lead and established position since defeating Cori Bush in the 2024 primary. Bell reported over $1.9 million raised through March 2026 compared with Bush’s roughly $845,000, supporting broader outreach in the heavily Democratic St. Louis-area district. A February 2026 poll showed Bell ahead by four points in a head-to-head matchup. Bush’s rematch effort focuses on mobilizing her core supporters, yet minor candidates and the open-primary format have not significantly altered the two-way contest. Trader consensus prices these structural advantages into Bell’s leading implied probability ahead of the filing deadline and summer campaign period.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$14,673结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Wesley Bell holds a clear edge in the August 4, 2026, Missouri Democratic primary for the 1st Congressional District, reflecting his strong fundraising lead and established position since defeating Cori Bush in the 2024 primary. Bell reported over $1.9 million raised through March 2026 compared with Bush’s roughly $845,000, supporting broader outreach in the heavily Democratic St. Louis-area district. A February 2026 poll showed Bell ahead by four points in a head-to-head matchup. Bush’s rematch effort focuses on mobilizing her core supporters, yet minor candidates and the open-primary format have not significantly altered the two-way contest. Trader consensus prices these structural advantages into Bell’s leading implied probability ahead of the filing deadline and summer campaign period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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