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US Election predictions & odds

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

26%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$2M today

$60M Liq.

687

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$584M Vol.

$2M today

$36M Liq.

364

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$553M Vol.

$957K today

$30M Liq.

869

Ends in over 2 years

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

46%

Tom Steyer

$14M Vol.

$172K today

$2M Liq.

39

Ends in 6 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

51%

Democrats Sweep

$6M Vol.

$545K Liq.

153

Ends in 6 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

86%

Democratic Party

$5M Vol.

$525K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

53%

Democratic Party

$2M Vol.

$346K Liq.

36

Ends in 6 months

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

59%

Ken Paxton

$16M Vol.

$252K Liq.

1

Ends in 30 days

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

50%

Abdul El-Sayed

$491K Vol.

$153K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

52%

Nithya Raman

$937K Vol.

$195K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Iowa Senate Election Winner

60%

Republican

$110K Vol.

$86.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

14%

Gretchen Whitmer

$4.9K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$796K Liq.

68

Ends in over 2 years

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Alaska Governor Election Winner

38%

Tom Begich

$937K Vol.

$311K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

98%

Pass 3-6%

$521K Vol.

$75.9K Liq.

62

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

70%

Republican

$107K Vol.

$69.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

93%

Graham Platner

$3M Vol.

$251K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

31%

Below 190

$210K Vol.

$195K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Texas Senate Election Matchup

Texas Senate Election Matchup

57%

Talarico & Paxton

$695K Vol.

$125K Liq.

3

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

82%

Rebecca Bennett

$2.7K Vol.

$30.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US Election.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for US Election that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.3B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 26% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Election predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.