Referenda predictions & odds

Elections·Global Elections

Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

$38.8K Vol.

$53.3K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Neutrality initiative

$38.8K Vol.

$53.3K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Elections·California

California Recall Election Reform Proposition

$20 Vol.

$853 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

48%

$20 Vol.

$853 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·Referenda

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

$7.5K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$7.5K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Popular Vote

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

$6.1K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

54%

VAT federal decree

$6.1K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Iceland

Iceland EU referendum passes?

$232K Vol.

$46.5K Liq.

<1%

$232K Vol.

$46.5K Liq.

Geopolitics·Erdogan

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

$6.8K Vol.

$544 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

17%

$6.8K Vol.

$544 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·California

California voter ID referendum passes?

$8.6K Vol.

$643 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

32%

$8.6K Vol.

$643 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·California

California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition

$0 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

49%

$0 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·California

California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

$3.1K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

50%

$3.1K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·California

California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition

$233 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

71%

$233 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·California

California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

$0 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

45%

$0 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·Michigan

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

$7.5K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

$7.5K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·California

California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition

$2.2K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

66%

$2.2K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

$65.7K Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$65.7K Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Trump

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

$48.3K Vol.

$24.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$48.3K Vol.

$24.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·California

California Tax Spend Audit Proposition

$1.1K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

38%

$1.1K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·California

California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

$2.9K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

21%

$2.9K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·California

California Clinic Funding Proposition

$1.9K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

38%

$1.9K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·House Elections

Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?

$453 Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

80%

$453 Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·House Elections

Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?

$191 Vol.

$714 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

73%

$191 Vol.

$714 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

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Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Referenda.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Referenda that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $433K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iceland EU referendum passes?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Referenda predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Referenda shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?” without ever needing to place a trade.

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Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

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Referenda predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Referenda prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Referenda markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Referenda prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Referenda predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Referenda odds?

Can I track Referenda predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Referenda markets on Polymarket?

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Referenda predictions & odds