Ukraine’s constitutional requirements and martial law currently bar national referendums and elections, with any territorial concessions needing parliamentary approval or a popular vote that cannot occur without a prior ceasefire. Early 2026 U.S.-mediated talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva yielded only prisoner swaps and short pauses in fighting, while core disputes over Donbas, Zaporizhzhia, and Ukrainian neutrality remain unresolved. Russia continues to demand formal recognition of annexed regions and restrictions on Ukrainian forces, positions Kyiv has rejected in public statements and counter-proposals. Recent Ukrainian offers for leader-level talks were dismissed by Moscow, and surveys show majority opposition to major land transfers even with security guarantees. With no verified diplomatic breakthrough or scheduled vote in the remaining 2026 window, traders price the referendum outcome as highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$62,400 Vol.
$62,400 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$62,400 Vol.
$62,400 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ukraine’s constitutional requirements and martial law currently bar national referendums and elections, with any territorial concessions needing parliamentary approval or a popular vote that cannot occur without a prior ceasefire. Early 2026 U.S.-mediated talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva yielded only prisoner swaps and short pauses in fighting, while core disputes over Donbas, Zaporizhzhia, and Ukrainian neutrality remain unresolved. Russia continues to demand formal recognition of annexed regions and restrictions on Ukrainian forces, positions Kyiv has rejected in public statements and counter-proposals. Recent Ukrainian offers for leader-level talks were dismissed by Moscow, and surveys show majority opposition to major land transfers even with security guarantees. With no verified diplomatic breakthrough or scheduled vote in the remaining 2026 window, traders price the referendum outcome as highly improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$62,400End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ukraine’s constitutional requirements and martial law currently bar national referendums and elections, with any territorial concessions needing parliamentary approval or a popular vote that cannot occur without a prior ceasefire. Early 2026 U.S.-mediated talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva yielded only prisoner swaps and short pauses in fighting, while core disputes over Donbas, Zaporizhzhia, and Ukrainian neutrality remain unresolved. Russia continues to demand formal recognition of annexed regions and restrictions on Ukrainian forces, positions Kyiv has rejected in public statements and counter-proposals. Recent Ukrainian offers for leader-level talks were dismissed by Moscow, and surveys show majority opposition to major land transfers even with security guarantees. With no verified diplomatic breakthrough or scheduled vote in the remaining 2026 window, traders price the referendum outcome as highly improbable.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,400End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine’s constitutional requirements and martial law currently bar national referendums and elections, with any territorial concessions needing parliamentary approval or a popular vote that cannot occur without a prior ceasefire. Early 2026 U.S.-mediated talks in Abu Dhabi and Geneva yielded only prisoner swaps and short pauses in fighting, while core disputes over Donbas, Zaporizhzhia, and Ukrainian neutrality remain unresolved. Russia continues to demand formal recognition of annexed regions and restrictions on Ukrainian forces, positions Kyiv has rejected in public statements and counter-proposals. Recent Ukrainian offers for leader-level talks were dismissed by Moscow, and surveys show majority opposition to major land transfers even with security guarantees. With no verified diplomatic breakthrough or scheduled vote in the remaining 2026 window, traders price the referendum outcome as highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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