Stalled Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations explain the 93.5% trader consensus against a Ukrainian referendum passing before 2027. U.S.-brokered talks in early 2026 produced no breakthrough on territorial concessions or security guarantees, with Russia rejecting proposed frameworks and maintaining maximalist demands. By mid-July, the Kremlin stated there were no immediate prospects for resuming talks. Ukraine requires a ceasefire and viable deal before any national referendum under martial law, a process that itself would take months. Ongoing hostilities and absence of recent diplomatic progress leave insufficient time for the sequence of agreement, public vote, and passage within the narrow window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$62,400 Vol.
$62,400 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$62,400 Vol.
$62,400 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stalled Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations explain the 93.5% trader consensus against a Ukrainian referendum passing before 2027. U.S.-brokered talks in early 2026 produced no breakthrough on territorial concessions or security guarantees, with Russia rejecting proposed frameworks and maintaining maximalist demands. By mid-July, the Kremlin stated there were no immediate prospects for resuming talks. Ukraine requires a ceasefire and viable deal before any national referendum under martial law, a process that itself would take months. Ongoing hostilities and absence of recent diplomatic progress leave insufficient time for the sequence of agreement, public vote, and passage within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$62,400End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stalled Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations explain the 93.5% trader consensus against a Ukrainian referendum passing before 2027. U.S.-brokered talks in early 2026 produced no breakthrough on territorial concessions or security guarantees, with Russia rejecting proposed frameworks and maintaining maximalist demands. By mid-July, the Kremlin stated there were no immediate prospects for resuming talks. Ukraine requires a ceasefire and viable deal before any national referendum under martial law, a process that itself would take months. Ongoing hostilities and absence of recent diplomatic progress leave insufficient time for the sequence of agreement, public vote, and passage within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,400End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stalled Russia-Ukraine peace negotiations explain the 93.5% trader consensus against a Ukrainian referendum passing before 2027. U.S.-brokered talks in early 2026 produced no breakthrough on territorial concessions or security guarantees, with Russia rejecting proposed frameworks and maintaining maximalist demands. By mid-July, the Kremlin stated there were no immediate prospects for resuming talks. Ukraine requires a ceasefire and viable deal before any national referendum under martial law, a process that itself would take months. Ongoing hostilities and absence of recent diplomatic progress leave insufficient time for the sequence of agreement, public vote, and passage within the narrow window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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