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Ali Khamenei predictions & odds

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Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

100%

Xi Jinping

$465K Vol.

$128K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

64%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$8M Vol.

$182K today

$1M Liq.

105

Ends in 8 months

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

53%

<5

$4.3K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

5%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

167

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

35%

December 31

$13M Vol.

$252K Liq.

1,076

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

11%

June 30

$432K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

10

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

3%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$45.3K Liq.

65

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

<1%

$138K Vol.

$31.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 1 day

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

1%

$19M Vol.

$423K today

$886K Liq.

1

Ends in 18 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

5%

$39M Vol.

$281K today

$898K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

13%

June 30, 2026

$762K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

44

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

18%

$18M Vol.

$435K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

8%

$579K Vol.

$29.5K Liq.

25

Ends in 8 months

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

10%

$1M Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

23

Ends in about 2 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

52%

June 30

$17M Vol.

$343K today

$371K Liq.

442

Ends in about 2 months

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

13%

December 31

$18M Vol.

$103K today

$301K Liq.

376

Ends in about 2 months

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

5%

Any U.S. House member

$387K Vol.

$77.6K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

25%

December 31

$594K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

29

Ends in 8 months

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

8%

$1M Vol.

$102K Liq.

38

Ends in 8 months

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

<1%

Fed Rate Cut

$716K Vol.

$362K today

$164K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Ali Khamenei that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will Trump meet with in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $141.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ali Khamenei predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.