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icon for Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

Aug 4

Aug 7

Aug 11

Aug 4

Aug 7

Aug 11

TWEET COUNT
0
Time left
TWEETS
0
Time left

<5 67%

5-9 44%

10-14 40%

15-19 40%

Polymarket
NEW

<5 67%

5-9 44%

10-14 40%

15-19 40%

Polymarket
NEW

<5

$0 Vol.

67%

5-9

$0 Vol.

44%

10-14

$0 Vol.

40%

15-19

$0 Vol.

40%

20-24

$10 Vol.

6%

25-29

$10 Vol.

6%

30-34

$10 Vol.

-

35-39

$10 Vol.

-

40-44

$20 Vol.

42%

45-49

$20 Vol.

1%

50-54

$20 Vol.

1%

55-59

$20 Vol.

1%

60+

$20 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was assassinated in February 2026 amid U.S.-Israeli strikes, triggering a March Assembly of Experts vote that installed his son Mojtaba as successor. The primary @khamenei_ir account now functions mainly as an archival or occasional outlet for attributed statements rather than routine daily messaging. Similar recent weekly markets have shown consistent low volume, with traders assigning roughly 70% implied probability to under five posts in comparable periods. No major scheduled addresses, religious observances, or policy announcements align with the August 4-11 window, reinforcing the trader consensus that activity will remain minimal absent sudden diplomatic or domestic developments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$140
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was assassinated in February 2026 amid U.S.-Israeli strikes, triggering a March Assembly of Experts vote that installed his son Mojtaba as successor. The primary @khamenei_ir account now functions mainly as an archival or occasional outlet for attributed statements rather than routine daily messaging. Similar recent weekly markets have shown consistent low volume, with traders assigning roughly 70% implied probability to under five posts in comparable periods. No major scheduled addresses, religious observances, or policy announcements align with the August 4-11 window, reinforcing the trader consensus that activity will remain minimal absent sudden diplomatic or domestic developments.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$140
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 67%, followed by "5-9" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" is "<5" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-9" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.