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Starmer predictions & odds

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Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

71%

December 31

$16M Vol.

$487K today

$402K Liq.

622

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

99%

Mr. Speaker 10+

$3.0K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

19%

$1.4K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

29%

No Next PM in 2026

$5M Vol.

$740K Liq.

50

Ends in 8 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

82%

300+

$15.1K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

5%

June 30, 2026

$745K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

14

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

5%

$3.3K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

72%

June 30

$109K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

54

Ends in 2 months

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

93%

Up

$2.2K Vol.

$766 Liq.

4

Ends in 4 days

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

93%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$6M Vol.

$167K today

$532K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

94%

Xi Jinping

$361K Vol.

$381K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

46%

Keir Starmer

$321K Vol.

$150K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Who will Trump talk to in April?

Who will Trump talk to in April?

39%

Mohammed bin Salman

$268K Vol.

$156K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

98%

Joe Biden

$39.5K Vol.

$66.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Who will Trump meet with in April?

Who will Trump meet with in April?

7%

Elon Musk

$120K Vol.

$164K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will Trump say during bilateral events with King Charles?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with King Charles?

88%

King

$35.9K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

8

Ends in 4 days

Who will Trump name in April?

Who will Trump name in April?

68%

Homan

$98.8K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

5

Ends in 4 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

84%

600+

$12.7K Vol.

$54.7K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Zelenskyy # posts April 21 - April 28, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 21 - April 28, 2026?

52%

80-99

$9.8K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Zelenskyy # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

41%

80-99

$2.0K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Starmer.

Polymarket currently hosts 125 active markets for Starmer that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Starmer out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $28.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Starmer approval Up or Down in April?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 71% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Starmer predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.