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PM previsões e probabilidades

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Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

97%

December 31

$504K Vol.

$29.2K Liq.

184

Ends em 7 meses

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

18%

$37.5K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

14

Ends em 7 meses

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$416K Vol.

$30.3K Liq.

65

Ends em 7 meses

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

4%

$6.7K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

1

Ends em 16 dias

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

27%

December 31, 2026

$324K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

111

Ends em 7 meses

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

35%

$661 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (June 15 - 20)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (June 15 - 20)

80%

June 15

$481 Vol.

$556 Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

ISM Services PMI - June 2026

ISM Services PMI - June 2026

100%

56.0+

$0 Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends há 11 dias

ISM Manufacturing PMI - June 2026

ISM Manufacturing PMI - June 2026

47%

<48.0

$192 Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

90%

Thank 5+ times

$1.1K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

19%

No Next PM in 2026

$10M Vol.

$1M Liq.

104

Ends em 7 meses

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

34%

PNL

$51.6K Vol.

$29.2K Liq.

4

Ends em 16 dias

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

53%

Giorgia Meloni

$27.8K Vol.

$148K Liq.

10

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

99%

Abiy Ahmed

$5M Vol.

$5M today

$25.1K Liq.

1

Ends há 13 dias

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

44%

Christopher Luxon

$3.9K Vol.

$36.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

9%

$110K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

6%

Radu Burnete

$2M Vol.

$129K today

$503K Liq.

179

Ends há 14 dias

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

33%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$16M Vol.

$535K today

$1M Liq.

321

Ends em 7 meses

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

77%

Magdalena Andersson

$2M Vol.

$326K Liq.

13

Ends em 3 meses

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

81%

December 31

$32M Vol.

$293K Liq.

1,757

Ends há 5 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PM.

Polymarket currently hosts 2269 active markets for PM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $68.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 81% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.