Spain's minority government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces ongoing corruption investigations and opposition pressure from the PP and Vox, yet parliamentary arithmetic continues to block any viable path to a successful no-confidence motion. Key support parties, including Junts and other regional groups, have explicitly ruled out backing such a vote, preferring to avoid risking a shift toward a conservative coalition. Sánchez has reaffirmed the government's commitment to completing its term through 2027 without early elections or a confidence vote, while no formal motion has advanced toward debate in the Congress of Deputies. These structural barriers and recent statements from potential kingmakers explain the market's strong consensus against a vote occurring before the June 30 deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$13,802 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
December 31
24%
July 31
2%
$13,802 Vol.
December 31
$12 Vol.
24%
July 31
$969 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces ongoing corruption investigations and opposition pressure from the PP and Vox, yet parliamentary arithmetic continues to block any viable path to a successful no-confidence motion. Key support parties, including Junts and other regional groups, have explicitly ruled out backing such a vote, preferring to avoid risking a shift toward a conservative coalition. Sánchez has reaffirmed the government's commitment to completing its term through 2027 without early elections or a confidence vote, while no formal motion has advanced toward debate in the Congress of Deputies. These structural barriers and recent statements from potential kingmakers explain the market's strong consensus against a vote occurring before the June 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volume
$13,802End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces ongoing corruption investigations and opposition pressure from the PP and Vox, yet parliamentary arithmetic continues to block any viable path to a successful no-confidence motion. Key support parties, including Junts and other regional groups, have explicitly ruled out backing such a vote, preferring to avoid risking a shift toward a conservative coalition. Sánchez has reaffirmed the government's commitment to completing its term through 2027 without early elections or a confidence vote, while no formal motion has advanced toward debate in the Congress of Deputies. These structural barriers and recent statements from potential kingmakers explain the market's strong consensus against a vote occurring before the June 30 deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,802End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spain's minority government under Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez faces ongoing corruption investigations and opposition pressure from the PP and Vox, yet parliamentary arithmetic continues to block any viable path to a successful no-confidence motion. Key support parties, including Junts and other regional groups, have explicitly ruled out backing such a vote, preferring to avoid risking a shift toward a conservative coalition. Sánchez has reaffirmed the government's commitment to completing its term through 2027 without early elections or a confidence vote, while no formal motion has advanced toward debate in the Congress of Deputies. These structural barriers and recent statements from potential kingmakers explain the market's strong consensus against a vote occurring before the June 30 deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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