Alexi Giannoulias leads trader consensus at 57% for the February 2027 Chicago mayoral election, reflecting his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $22 million, union endorsements, and high name recognition after his August 2026 campaign launch. Incumbent Brandon Johnson formally entered the race on September 13 amid low approval ratings near 30% and limited campaign cash, while a crowded field including Susana Mendoza at 12.5% and more than a dozen other declared candidates fragments support. The nonpartisan race structure, with a potential April runoff if no one reaches a majority, keeps probabilities tight as early polling and petition drives highlight competition over public safety, fiscal pressures, and economic growth. Upcoming petition deadlines in October and continued fundraising will likely influence positioning before the first-round vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlexi Giannoulias 54%
Susana Mendoza 13%
Brandon Johnson 12%
Matt Brewer 9%

Alexi Giannoulias
54%

Susana Mendoza
13%

Brandon Johnson
12%

Matt Brewer
9%

George Cardenas
8%

John Kelly
8%

Joe Holberg
5%

Mike Quigley
4%

Kam Buckner
3%

Danielle Carter-Walters
3%

Willie Wilson
3%

Maria Pappas
3%
Alexi Giannoulias 54%
Susana Mendoza 13%
Brandon Johnson 12%
Matt Brewer 9%

Alexi Giannoulias
54%

Susana Mendoza
13%

Brandon Johnson
12%

Matt Brewer
9%

George Cardenas
8%

John Kelly
8%

Joe Holberg
5%

Mike Quigley
4%

Kam Buckner
3%

Danielle Carter-Walters
3%

Willie Wilson
3%

Maria Pappas
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Chicago.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Chicago.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Alexi Giannoulias leads trader consensus at 57% for the February 2027 Chicago mayoral election, reflecting his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $22 million, union endorsements, and high name recognition after his August 2026 campaign launch. Incumbent Brandon Johnson formally entered the race on September 13 amid low approval ratings near 30% and limited campaign cash, while a crowded field including Susana Mendoza at 12.5% and more than a dozen other declared candidates fragments support. The nonpartisan race structure, with a potential April runoff if no one reaches a majority, keeps probabilities tight as early polling and petition drives highlight competition over public safety, fiscal pressures, and economic growth. Upcoming petition deadlines in October and continued fundraising will likely influence positioning before the first-round vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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