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Gerrymander predictions & odds

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Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

94%

Texas

$4.8K Vol.

$640K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

68%

$9.3K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

10

Ends in 6 months

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

97%

Pass 3-6%

$546K Vol.

$45.9K Liq.

63

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

93%

$2.3K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

Below 190

$214K Vol.

$94.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

88%

$2.7K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

21%

May 31

$121K Vol.

$87.7K Liq.

10

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

20%

125-130m

$6.9K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

$77.3K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

9

Ends in 6 months

OR-03 House Election Winner

OR-03 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$1.3K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

14%

Democrats 8-10%

$31.4K Vol.

$49.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

49%

Democrats Sweep

$6M Vol.

$477K Liq.

162

Ends in 6 months

OR-01 House Election Winner

OR-01 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$898 Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

69%

$39.2K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

24%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$144K Liq.

6

IN-03 House Election Winner

IN-03 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$1.0K Vol.

$29.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

AR-03 House Election Winner

AR-03 House Election Winner

90%

Republican Party

$6.1K Vol.

$28.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

22–23

$665K Vol.

$71.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$16.1K Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OR-05 House Election Winner

OR-05 House Election Winner

84%

Democratic Party

$300 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Gerrymander that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 49% chance to Democrats Sweep. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gerrymander predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.