Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district carries a D+13 partisan voter index and has delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around a Democratic hold for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jim McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 Democratic primary, while no Republican candidates filed for the corresponding primary. Forecasters across outlets classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the seat's structural lean and limited organized opposition. A late-filed or write-in Republican challenge, an unforeseen scandal, or a sharp national political shift could introduce volatility, though current filing deadlines and historical patterns indicate few realistic paths to altering the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMA-02 House Election Winner
MA-02 House Election Winner
$63,225 Vol.
$63,225 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$63,225 Vol.
$63,225 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$35,219 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$28,006 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district carries a D+13 partisan voter index and has delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around a Democratic hold for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jim McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 Democratic primary, while no Republican candidates filed for the corresponding primary. Forecasters across outlets classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the seat's structural lean and limited organized opposition. A late-filed or write-in Republican challenge, an unforeseen scandal, or a sharp national political shift could introduce volatility, though current filing deadlines and historical patterns indicate few realistic paths to altering the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$63,225End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district carries a D+13 partisan voter index and has delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around a Democratic hold for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jim McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 Democratic primary, while no Republican candidates filed for the corresponding primary. Forecasters across outlets classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the seat's structural lean and limited organized opposition. A late-filed or write-in Republican challenge, an unforeseen scandal, or a sharp national political shift could introduce volatility, though current filing deadlines and historical patterns indicate few realistic paths to altering the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,225End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 2nd congressional district carries a D+13 partisan voter index and has delivered double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around a Democratic hold for the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Jim McGovern advanced unopposed through the September 1 Democratic primary, while no Republican candidates filed for the corresponding primary. Forecasters across outlets classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the seat's structural lean and limited organized opposition. A late-filed or write-in Republican challenge, an unforeseen scandal, or a sharp national political shift could introduce volatility, though current filing deadlines and historical patterns indicate few realistic paths to altering the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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