Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Lloyd Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Nancy Mannion similarly cleared an uncontested primary, setting up a November 3 general election matchup alongside independent Jeffrey Wilder. The district's voting patterns and Smucker's established position have anchored trader consensus around an Republican outcome at 86 percent, with the 13 percent Democratic share accounting for residual national midterm dynamics or turnout variables. No major developments have altered the race trajectory in recent weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPA-11 House Election Winner
PA-11 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$2,634 Vol.
86%
Democratic Party
$1,082 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Lloyd Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Nancy Mannion similarly cleared an uncontested primary, setting up a November 3 general election matchup alongside independent Jeffrey Wilder. The district's voting patterns and Smucker's established position have anchored trader consensus around an Republican outcome at 86 percent, with the 13 percent Democratic share accounting for residual national midterm dynamics or turnout variables. No major developments have altered the race trajectory in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$3,716Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Lloyd Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Nancy Mannion similarly cleared an uncontested primary, setting up a November 3 general election matchup alongside independent Jeffrey Wilder. The district's voting patterns and Smucker's established position have anchored trader consensus around an Republican outcome at 86 percent, with the 13 percent Democratic share accounting for residual national midterm dynamics or turnout variables. No major developments have altered the race trajectory in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,716Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Lloyd Smucker advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Nancy Mannion similarly cleared an uncontested primary, setting up a November 3 general election matchup alongside independent Jeffrey Wilder. The district's voting patterns and Smucker's established position have anchored trader consensus around an Republican outcome at 86 percent, with the 13 percent Democratic share accounting for residual national midterm dynamics or turnout variables. No major developments have altered the race trajectory in recent weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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