Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker faces Democrat Nancy Mannion and independent Jeffrey Wilder in the November 3, 2026 general election for Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district. The seat carries an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solidly or safely Republican. Both major-party candidates advanced unopposed in the May 19 primaries. Smucker’s long tenure, committee assignments, and fundraising edge in a district anchored in Lancaster and parts of York counties reinforce trader expectations that the Republican nominee will prevail, consistent with historical performance in this reliably GOP-leaning area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
86%
民主党
13%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,634 交易量
86%
民主党
$1,082 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker faces Democrat Nancy Mannion and independent Jeffrey Wilder in the November 3, 2026 general election for Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district. The seat carries an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solidly or safely Republican. Both major-party candidates advanced unopposed in the May 19 primaries. Smucker’s long tenure, committee assignments, and fundraising edge in a district anchored in Lancaster and parts of York counties reinforce trader expectations that the Republican nominee will prevail, consistent with historical performance in this reliably GOP-leaning area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$3,716结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker faces Democrat Nancy Mannion and independent Jeffrey Wilder in the November 3, 2026 general election for Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district. The seat carries an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solidly or safely Republican. Both major-party candidates advanced unopposed in the May 19 primaries. Smucker’s long tenure, committee assignments, and fundraising edge in a district anchored in Lancaster and parts of York counties reinforce trader expectations that the Republican nominee will prevail, consistent with historical performance in this reliably GOP-leaning area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,716结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker faces Democrat Nancy Mannion and independent Jeffrey Wilder in the November 3, 2026 general election for Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district. The seat carries an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solidly or safely Republican. Both major-party candidates advanced unopposed in the May 19 primaries. Smucker’s long tenure, committee assignments, and fundraising edge in a district anchored in Lancaster and parts of York counties reinforce trader expectations that the Republican nominee will prevail, consistent with historical performance in this reliably GOP-leaning area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题