The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in the NJ-11 House race due to the district’s established partisan lean and the outcome of the April 2026 special election, where the Democratic candidate secured roughly 60 percent of the vote against the Republican challenger. Recent primary results further reinforced this positioning, with the Democratic frontrunner prevailing by wide margins. Analyst ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. A significant national political shift, major scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors within the current election cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,356 交易量
$17,356 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
$17,356 交易量
$17,356 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$13,405 交易量
92%
共和党
$3,951 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in the NJ-11 House race due to the district’s established partisan lean and the outcome of the April 2026 special election, where the Democratic candidate secured roughly 60 percent of the vote against the Republican challenger. Recent primary results further reinforced this positioning, with the Democratic frontrunner prevailing by wide margins. Analyst ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. A significant national political shift, major scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors within the current election cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$17,356结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in the NJ-11 House race due to the district’s established partisan lean and the outcome of the April 2026 special election, where the Democratic candidate secured roughly 60 percent of the vote against the Republican challenger. Recent primary results further reinforced this positioning, with the Democratic frontrunner prevailing by wide margins. Analyst ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. A significant national political shift, major scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors within the current election cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,356结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in the NJ-11 House race due to the district’s established partisan lean and the outcome of the April 2026 special election, where the Democratic candidate secured roughly 60 percent of the vote against the Republican challenger. Recent primary results further reinforced this positioning, with the Democratic frontrunner prevailing by wide margins. Analyst ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting historical voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. A significant national political shift, major scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors within the current election cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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