The special election results for New Jersey's 11th congressional district, held April 16, 2026, to fill the vacancy created by Mikie Sherrill's resignation after her gubernatorial win, establish the primary driver of current trader consensus. Democratic nominee Analilia Mejia secured victory with approximately 60 percent of the vote against Republican Joe Hathaway's roughly 39-40 percent share, reflecting the district's underlying partisan lean and voter registration advantage for Democrats. This outcome followed a crowded Democratic primary in February and aligns with the seat's historical performance in recent cycles. With certification and final vote tabulation largely complete, scenarios that could alter the result remain limited to narrow procedural disputes or recounts, though the margin reduces the likelihood of meaningful shifts before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,774 Vol.
$17,774 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
7%
$17,774 Vol.
$17,774 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$13,407 Vol.
92%
共和党
$4,367 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The special election results for New Jersey's 11th congressional district, held April 16, 2026, to fill the vacancy created by Mikie Sherrill's resignation after her gubernatorial win, establish the primary driver of current trader consensus. Democratic nominee Analilia Mejia secured victory with approximately 60 percent of the vote against Republican Joe Hathaway's roughly 39-40 percent share, reflecting the district's underlying partisan lean and voter registration advantage for Democrats. This outcome followed a crowded Democratic primary in February and aligns with the seat's historical performance in recent cycles. With certification and final vote tabulation largely complete, scenarios that could alter the result remain limited to narrow procedural disputes or recounts, though the margin reduces the likelihood of meaningful shifts before market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$17,774終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The special election results for New Jersey's 11th congressional district, held April 16, 2026, to fill the vacancy created by Mikie Sherrill's resignation after her gubernatorial win, establish the primary driver of current trader consensus. Democratic nominee Analilia Mejia secured victory with approximately 60 percent of the vote against Republican Joe Hathaway's roughly 39-40 percent share, reflecting the district's underlying partisan lean and voter registration advantage for Democrats. This outcome followed a crowded Democratic primary in February and aligns with the seat's historical performance in recent cycles. With certification and final vote tabulation largely complete, scenarios that could alter the result remain limited to narrow procedural disputes or recounts, though the margin reduces the likelihood of meaningful shifts before market resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,774終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The special election results for New Jersey's 11th congressional district, held April 16, 2026, to fill the vacancy created by Mikie Sherrill's resignation after her gubernatorial win, establish the primary driver of current trader consensus. Democratic nominee Analilia Mejia secured victory with approximately 60 percent of the vote against Republican Joe Hathaway's roughly 39-40 percent share, reflecting the district's underlying partisan lean and voter registration advantage for Democrats. This outcome followed a crowded Democratic primary in February and aligns with the seat's historical performance in recent cycles. With certification and final vote tabulation largely complete, scenarios that could alter the result remain limited to narrow procedural disputes or recounts, though the margin reduces the likelihood of meaningful shifts before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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