The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and strong performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus for the Democratic nominee at 91.5%. Incumbent Analilia Mejia established a commanding position after winning the April 2026 special election by roughly 21 points to fill the vacancy created by Mikie Sherrill's gubernatorial victory, then securing an overwhelming Democratic primary win on June 2. Republican nominee Joe Hathaway faces structural headwinds in this environment. A sizable national midterm swing toward Republicans or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the seat's partisan baseline and historical patterns limit the scope for such shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,358 Vol.
$17,358 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
$17,358 Vol.
$17,358 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$13,407 Vol.
92%
共和党
$3,951 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and strong performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus for the Democratic nominee at 91.5%. Incumbent Analilia Mejia established a commanding position after winning the April 2026 special election by roughly 21 points to fill the vacancy created by Mikie Sherrill's gubernatorial victory, then securing an overwhelming Democratic primary win on June 2. Republican nominee Joe Hathaway faces structural headwinds in this environment. A sizable national midterm swing toward Republicans or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the seat's partisan baseline and historical patterns limit the scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$17,358終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and strong performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus for the Democratic nominee at 91.5%. Incumbent Analilia Mejia established a commanding position after winning the April 2026 special election by roughly 21 points to fill the vacancy created by Mikie Sherrill's gubernatorial victory, then securing an overwhelming Democratic primary win on June 2. Republican nominee Joe Hathaway faces structural headwinds in this environment. A sizable national midterm swing toward Republicans or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the seat's partisan baseline and historical patterns limit the scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,358終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and strong performance in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus for the Democratic nominee at 91.5%. Incumbent Analilia Mejia established a commanding position after winning the April 2026 special election by roughly 21 points to fill the vacancy created by Mikie Sherrill's gubernatorial victory, then securing an overwhelming Democratic primary win on June 2. Republican nominee Joe Hathaway faces structural headwinds in this environment. A sizable national midterm swing toward Republicans or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the seat's partisan baseline and historical patterns limit the scope for such shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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