New Jersey’s 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters and a D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Adam Hamawy after incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman retired, while Republicans nominated Gregg Mele without opposition. Historical results, including Kamala Harris’s double-digit margin in 2024, reinforce the structural advantage. Trader consensus at the current odds aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national swing, significant Democratic turnout decline, or late-cycle developments capable of shifting the race fundamentals in the final weeks before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNJ-12 House Election Winner
NJ-12 House Election Winner
$24,371 Vol.
$24,371 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$24,371 Vol.
$24,371 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,801 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$8,570 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters and a D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Adam Hamawy after incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman retired, while Republicans nominated Gregg Mele without opposition. Historical results, including Kamala Harris’s double-digit margin in 2024, reinforce the structural advantage. Trader consensus at the current odds aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national swing, significant Democratic turnout decline, or late-cycle developments capable of shifting the race fundamentals in the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$24,371End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters and a D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Adam Hamawy after incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman retired, while Republicans nominated Gregg Mele without opposition. Historical results, including Kamala Harris’s double-digit margin in 2024, reinforce the structural advantage. Trader consensus at the current odds aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national swing, significant Democratic turnout decline, or late-cycle developments capable of shifting the race fundamentals in the final weeks before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,371End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey’s 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters and a D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Adam Hamawy after incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman retired, while Republicans nominated Gregg Mele without opposition. Historical results, including Kamala Harris’s double-digit margin in 2024, reinforce the structural advantage. Trader consensus at the current odds aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national swing, significant Democratic turnout decline, or late-cycle developments capable of shifting the race fundamentals in the final weeks before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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