New Jersey’s 12th congressional district carries a D+13 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential voting and making it one of the state’s safest seats for the party. Incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman’s retirement opened the seat, but the June 2 Democratic primary produced nominee Adam Hamawy, who prevailed in a crowded field. Republican Gregg Mele faces the general election matchup on November 3 with limited visibility or resources in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by double-digit margins. These structural factors and the absence of competitive polling sustain trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome, though a national Republican wave or unexpected candidate controversy could narrow the gap before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-12 House Election Winner
NJ-12 House Election Winner
$16,918 ปริมาณ
$16,918 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$16,918 ปริมาณ
$16,918 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,847 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$5,071 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 12th congressional district carries a D+13 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential voting and making it one of the state’s safest seats for the party. Incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman’s retirement opened the seat, but the June 2 Democratic primary produced nominee Adam Hamawy, who prevailed in a crowded field. Republican Gregg Mele faces the general election matchup on November 3 with limited visibility or resources in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by double-digit margins. These structural factors and the absence of competitive polling sustain trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome, though a national Republican wave or unexpected candidate controversy could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,918วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 12th congressional district carries a D+13 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential voting and making it one of the state’s safest seats for the party. Incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman’s retirement opened the seat, but the June 2 Democratic primary produced nominee Adam Hamawy, who prevailed in a crowded field. Republican Gregg Mele faces the general election matchup on November 3 with limited visibility or resources in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by double-digit margins. These structural factors and the absence of competitive polling sustain trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome, though a national Republican wave or unexpected candidate controversy could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,918วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey’s 12th congressional district carries a D+13 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential voting and making it one of the state’s safest seats for the party. Incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman’s retirement opened the seat, but the June 2 Democratic primary produced nominee Adam Hamawy, who prevailed in a crowded field. Republican Gregg Mele faces the general election matchup on November 3 with limited visibility or resources in a district where Democratic candidates have historically prevailed by double-digit margins. These structural factors and the absence of competitive polling sustain trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome, though a national Republican wave or unexpected candidate controversy could narrow the gap before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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