New Jersey’s 12th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, a structural advantage reflected in its partisan voter index and consistent margins in recent cycles. The retirement of six-term incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman triggered a crowded Democratic primary on June 2 that produced nominee Adam Hamawy, who now faces Republican Gregg Mele in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party a commanding lead. A late-breaking scandal, unusually low turnout among Democratic voters, or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited near-term volatility ahead of the November contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNJ-12 House Election Winner
NJ-12 House Election Winner
$16,918 KL.
$16,918 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$16,918 KL.
$16,918 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,847 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$5,071 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 12th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, a structural advantage reflected in its partisan voter index and consistent margins in recent cycles. The retirement of six-term incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman triggered a crowded Democratic primary on June 2 that produced nominee Adam Hamawy, who now faces Republican Gregg Mele in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party a commanding lead. A late-breaking scandal, unusually low turnout among Democratic voters, or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited near-term volatility ahead of the November contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,918Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 12th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, a structural advantage reflected in its partisan voter index and consistent margins in recent cycles. The retirement of six-term incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman triggered a crowded Democratic primary on June 2 that produced nominee Adam Hamawy, who now faces Republican Gregg Mele in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party a commanding lead. A late-breaking scandal, unusually low turnout among Democratic voters, or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited near-term volatility ahead of the November contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$16,918Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey’s 12th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates, a structural advantage reflected in its partisan voter index and consistent margins in recent cycles. The retirement of six-term incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman triggered a crowded Democratic primary on June 2 that produced nominee Adam Hamawy, who now faces Republican Gregg Mele in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party a commanding lead. A late-breaking scandal, unusually low turnout among Democratic voters, or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited near-term volatility ahead of the November contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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