The strong Democratic partisan lean of New Jersey’s 12th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+13 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman’s retirement opened the seat, but the June 2 primary produced Army veteran and surgeon Adam Hamawy as the nominee to face Republican Gregg Mele in the November 3 general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s voter registration advantage and historical results. A national political realignment, significant local scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would need to overcome established structural advantages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,916 Vol.
$16,916 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
$16,916 Vol.
$16,916 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,847 Vol.
93%
共和党
$5,069 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic partisan lean of New Jersey’s 12th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+13 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman’s retirement opened the seat, but the June 2 primary produced Army veteran and surgeon Adam Hamawy as the nominee to face Republican Gregg Mele in the November 3 general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s voter registration advantage and historical results. A national political realignment, significant local scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would need to overcome established structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$16,916終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic partisan lean of New Jersey’s 12th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+13 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman’s retirement opened the seat, but the June 2 primary produced Army veteran and surgeon Adam Hamawy as the nominee to face Republican Gregg Mele in the November 3 general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s voter registration advantage and historical results. A national political realignment, significant local scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would need to overcome established structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$16,916終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic partisan lean of New Jersey’s 12th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+13 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman’s retirement opened the seat, but the June 2 primary produced Army veteran and surgeon Adam Hamawy as the nominee to face Republican Gregg Mele in the November 3 general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s voter registration advantage and historical results. A national political realignment, significant local scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would need to overcome established structural advantages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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