The Democratic Party's commanding lead in the NJ-06 House election market reflects the district's established partisan lean, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5 and consistent ratings of solid or safe Democratic from major forecasters. Long-serving incumbent Frank Pallone faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the June 2, 2026, contest and is expected to advance easily to the November general election. Limited Republican opposition and the absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or polling have reinforced trader consensus on the outcome. A significant national Republican surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such scenarios unlikely to alter the result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,141 Vol.
$15,141 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
6%
$15,141 Vol.
$15,141 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,069 Vol.
92%
共和党
$8,072 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party's commanding lead in the NJ-06 House election market reflects the district's established partisan lean, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5 and consistent ratings of solid or safe Democratic from major forecasters. Long-serving incumbent Frank Pallone faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the June 2, 2026, contest and is expected to advance easily to the November general election. Limited Republican opposition and the absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or polling have reinforced trader consensus on the outcome. A significant national Republican surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such scenarios unlikely to alter the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$15,141終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party's commanding lead in the NJ-06 House election market reflects the district's established partisan lean, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5 and consistent ratings of solid or safe Democratic from major forecasters. Long-serving incumbent Frank Pallone faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the June 2, 2026, contest and is expected to advance easily to the November general election. Limited Republican opposition and the absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or polling have reinforced trader consensus on the outcome. A significant national Republican surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such scenarios unlikely to alter the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,141終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party's commanding lead in the NJ-06 House election market reflects the district's established partisan lean, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5 and consistent ratings of solid or safe Democratic from major forecasters. Long-serving incumbent Frank Pallone faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the June 2, 2026, contest and is expected to advance easily to the November general election. Limited Republican opposition and the absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or polling have reinforced trader consensus on the outcome. A significant national Republican surge, unexpected scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such scenarios unlikely to alter the result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問