Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a structural advantage in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district, rated R+5 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index after the Republican presidential nominee carried the seat by 13 points in 2024. Van Drew secured reelection with 58.1 percent that year, and nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The June 2, 2026, primaries reinforced this outlook, with Van Drew unopposed on the Republican side while Democrats selected Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock following a contested primary. Trader consensus at 69.5 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with the district’s consistent partisan lean and historical results, though the November general election could still shift with broader national conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,730 交易量
$15,730 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
70%
民主党
30%
$15,730 交易量
$15,730 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,219 交易量
70%
民主党
$7,511 交易量
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a structural advantage in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district, rated R+5 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index after the Republican presidential nominee carried the seat by 13 points in 2024. Van Drew secured reelection with 58.1 percent that year, and nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The June 2, 2026, primaries reinforced this outlook, with Van Drew unopposed on the Republican side while Democrats selected Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock following a contested primary. Trader consensus at 69.5 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with the district’s consistent partisan lean and historical results, though the November general election could still shift with broader national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$15,730结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a structural advantage in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district, rated R+5 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index after the Republican presidential nominee carried the seat by 13 points in 2024. Van Drew secured reelection with 58.1 percent that year, and nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The June 2, 2026, primaries reinforced this outlook, with Van Drew unopposed on the Republican side while Democrats selected Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock following a contested primary. Trader consensus at 69.5 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with the district’s consistent partisan lean and historical results, though the November general election could still shift with broader national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,730结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a structural advantage in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district, rated R+5 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index after the Republican presidential nominee carried the seat by 13 points in 2024. Van Drew secured reelection with 58.1 percent that year, and nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The June 2, 2026, primaries reinforced this outlook, with Van Drew unopposed on the Republican side while Democrats selected Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock following a contested primary. Trader consensus at 69.5 percent for the Republican outcome aligns with the district’s consistent partisan lean and historical results, though the November general election could still shift with broader national conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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