Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds TN-08, a West Tennessee district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball following May 2026 redistricting that added portions of Shelby County while preserving a strong GOP tilt. Traders assign the Republican Party an 84.5% implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s partisan voter index, Kustoff’s prior margins above 70%, and limited Democratic primary field ahead of the August 6 contest. The Democratic Party’s 15% share aligns with the absence of notable challengers or polling shifts that would alter the competitive landscape before the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTN-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TN-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$14,935 Vol.
$14,935 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
85%
Parti démocrate
15%
$14,935 Vol.
$14,935 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$10,091 Vol.
85%
Parti démocrate
$4,844 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds TN-08, a West Tennessee district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball following May 2026 redistricting that added portions of Shelby County while preserving a strong GOP tilt. Traders assign the Republican Party an 84.5% implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s partisan voter index, Kustoff’s prior margins above 70%, and limited Democratic primary field ahead of the August 6 contest. The Democratic Party’s 15% share aligns with the absence of notable challengers or polling shifts that would alter the competitive landscape before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$14,935Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds TN-08, a West Tennessee district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball following May 2026 redistricting that added portions of Shelby County while preserving a strong GOP tilt. Traders assign the Republican Party an 84.5% implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s partisan voter index, Kustoff’s prior margins above 70%, and limited Democratic primary field ahead of the August 6 contest. The Democratic Party’s 15% share aligns with the absence of notable challengers or polling shifts that would alter the competitive landscape before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,935Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds TN-08, a West Tennessee district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball following May 2026 redistricting that added portions of Shelby County while preserving a strong GOP tilt. Traders assign the Republican Party an 84.5% implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s partisan voter index, Kustoff’s prior margins above 70%, and limited Democratic primary field ahead of the August 6 contest. The Democratic Party’s 15% share aligns with the absence of notable challengers or polling shifts that would alter the competitive landscape before the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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