Tennessee's 9th congressional district shifted dramatically after May 2026 redistricting, expanding beyond its Memphis core into Nashville suburbs and areas that supported the Republican presidential candidate by 21 points. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection under the new map, converting an open seat previously rated as heavily Democratic into one with a Republican partisan voting index advantage. Forecasting outlets including the Cook Political Report now classify the race as Solid Republican, citing the altered electorate and absence of an incumbent. Primaries scheduled for August 6 will set the general election matchup for November 3, with traders pricing the Republican nominee as the clear favorite based on these structural changes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTN-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TN-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$29,941 Vol.
$29,941 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
81%
Parti démocrate
21%
$29,941 Vol.
$29,941 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$16,902 Vol.
81%
Parti démocrate
$13,039 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 9th congressional district shifted dramatically after May 2026 redistricting, expanding beyond its Memphis core into Nashville suburbs and areas that supported the Republican presidential candidate by 21 points. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection under the new map, converting an open seat previously rated as heavily Democratic into one with a Republican partisan voting index advantage. Forecasting outlets including the Cook Political Report now classify the race as Solid Republican, citing the altered electorate and absence of an incumbent. Primaries scheduled for August 6 will set the general election matchup for November 3, with traders pricing the Republican nominee as the clear favorite based on these structural changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$29,941Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 9th congressional district shifted dramatically after May 2026 redistricting, expanding beyond its Memphis core into Nashville suburbs and areas that supported the Republican presidential candidate by 21 points. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection under the new map, converting an open seat previously rated as heavily Democratic into one with a Republican partisan voting index advantage. Forecasting outlets including the Cook Political Report now classify the race as Solid Republican, citing the altered electorate and absence of an incumbent. Primaries scheduled for August 6 will set the general election matchup for November 3, with traders pricing the Republican nominee as the clear favorite based on these structural changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,941Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 9th congressional district shifted dramatically after May 2026 redistricting, expanding beyond its Memphis core into Nashville suburbs and areas that supported the Republican presidential candidate by 21 points. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen opted not to seek reelection under the new map, converting an open seat previously rated as heavily Democratic into one with a Republican partisan voting index advantage. Forecasting outlets including the Cook Political Report now classify the race as Solid Republican, citing the altered electorate and absence of an incumbent. Primaries scheduled for August 6 will set the general election matchup for November 3, with traders pricing the Republican nominee as the clear favorite based on these structural changes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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