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Politics·Michigan

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Michigan

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Shri Thanedar 50%

Donavan McKinney 38%

Shelby Campbell 3.9%

Anthony Carbonaro 1.5%

Polymarket

$22,721 Vol.

Shri Thanedar 50%

Donavan McKinney 38%

Shelby Campbell 3.9%

Anthony Carbonaro 1.5%

Polymarket

$22,721 Vol.

Shri Thanedar

$1,174 Vol.

50%

Donavan McKinney

$20,313 Vol.

38%

Shelby Campbell

$442 Vol.

4%

Anthony Carbonaro

$404 Vol.

1%

Nazmul Hassan

$388 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a narrow trader consensus lead at 50.5% in the MI-13 Democratic primary due to his substantial fundraising advantage—bolstered by self-funding as a wealthy former CEO—and incumbency benefits like name recognition in the Detroit-based district.** State Rep. Donavan McKinney trails closely at 37.5%, reflecting momentum from progressive endorsements including Justice Democrats, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, and the Progressive Working Families Party's March 2026 backing, amid local calls for Black representation in the plurality-Black district. No public polls exist, positioning the August 4 primary as a tight contest shaped by voter turnout among key blocs; recent February fundraising reports underscored Thanedar's financial edge, with no major developments in the past week post-April 21 filing deadline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,721
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a narrow trader consensus lead at 50.5% in the MI-13 Democratic primary due to his substantial fundraising advantage—bolstered by self-funding as a wealthy former CEO—and incumbency benefits like name recognition in the Detroit-based district.** State Rep. Donavan McKinney trails closely at 37.5%, reflecting momentum from progressive endorsements including Justice Democrats, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, and the Progressive Working Families Party's March 2026 backing, amid local calls for Black representation in the plurality-Black district. No public polls exist, positioning the August 4 primary as a tight contest shaped by voter turnout among key blocs; recent February fundraising reports underscored Thanedar's financial edge, with no major developments in the past week post-April 21 filing deadline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,721
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shri Thanedar" at 50%, followed by "Donavan McKinney" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $22.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Shri Thanedar" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Donavan McKinney" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.