State Senate President Pro Tem Jeremy Moss dominates trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability for Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, propelled by his April 16 fundraising report showing over $1 million raised and a commanding cash-on-hand lead over rivals in the open seat race vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' U.S. Senate bid. Strong endorsements from Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Attorney General Dana Nessel, Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson, and more than 60 local officials underscore his organizational edge in Oakland County suburbs. Andy Levin holds 11% on prior name recognition, while Don Ufford (6.9%), Aisha Farooqi (6.7%), and Dave Woodward (2.1%) trail with comparatively limited resources.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJeremy Moss 78%
Andy Levin 11%
Don Ufford 8.0%
Aisha Farooqi 7.1%
$13,629 Vol.
$13,629 Vol.
Jeremy Moss
78%
Andy Levin
11%
Don Ufford
8%
Aisha Farooqi
7%
Dave Woodward
2%
Jeremy Moss 78%
Andy Levin 11%
Don Ufford 8.0%
Aisha Farooqi 7.1%
$13,629 Vol.
$13,629 Vol.
Jeremy Moss
78%
Andy Levin
11%
Don Ufford
8%
Aisha Farooqi
7%
Dave Woodward
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Senate President Pro Tem Jeremy Moss dominates trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability for Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, propelled by his April 16 fundraising report showing over $1 million raised and a commanding cash-on-hand lead over rivals in the open seat race vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' U.S. Senate bid. Strong endorsements from Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Attorney General Dana Nessel, Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson, and more than 60 local officials underscore his organizational edge in Oakland County suburbs. Andy Levin holds 11% on prior name recognition, while Don Ufford (6.9%), Aisha Farooqi (6.7%), and Dave Woodward (2.1%) trail with comparatively limited resources.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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