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Elections·Primaries

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

Jeremy Moss 79%

Andy Levin 11%

Aisha Farooqi 7.0%

Don Ufford 3.9%

Polymarket

$13,600 Vol.

Jeremy Moss 79%

Andy Levin 11%

Aisha Farooqi 7.0%

Don Ufford 3.9%

Polymarket

$13,600 Vol.

Jeremy Moss

$5,098 Vol.

79%

Andy Levin

$2,725 Vol.

11%

Aisha Farooqi

$5,530 Vol.

7%

Don Ufford

$32 Vol.

4%

Dave Woodward

$214 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Senate President Pro Tem Jeremy Moss dominates trader consensus at 79% implied probability in the MI-11 Democratic primary due to his commanding fundraising lead—$982,000 raised and $572,000 cash on hand as of March 31 filings, announced April 16—and high-profile endorsements from Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson, and Attorney General Dana Nessel, reinforcing his establishment appeal in Oakland County-based district. Former Rep. Andy Levin trails at 10.5% on lingering name recognition from his 2022 MI-11 primary run despite no formal entry post-April 21 filing deadline, while Aisha Farooqi's 7% reflects progressive positioning and solid $269,000 raised; Don Ufford's 6% persists amid his $672,000 haul despite past Republican affiliations. The fragmented field favors Moss ahead of the August 4 primary, with no recent polls but stable market pricing signaling low upset risk absent major disruptions.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$13,600
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Senate President Pro Tem Jeremy Moss dominates trader consensus at 79% implied probability in the MI-11 Democratic primary due to his commanding fundraising lead—$982,000 raised and $572,000 cash on hand as of March 31 filings, announced April 16—and high-profile endorsements from Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson, and Attorney General Dana Nessel, reinforcing his establishment appeal in Oakland County-based district. Former Rep. Andy Levin trails at 10.5% on lingering name recognition from his 2022 MI-11 primary run despite no formal entry post-April 21 filing deadline, while Aisha Farooqi's 7% reflects progressive positioning and solid $269,000 raised; Don Ufford's 6% persists amid his $672,000 haul despite past Republican affiliations. The fragmented field favors Moss ahead of the August 4 primary, with no recent polls but stable market pricing signaling low upset risk absent major disruptions.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$13,600
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jeremy Moss" at 79%, followed by "Andy Levin" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $13.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Jeremy Moss" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andy Levin" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.