Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
California·Politics

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

18%

December 31, 2026

$72.6K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

9

Ends in 10 months

California Governor Election Winner
California·Politics

California Governor Election Winner

57%

Eric Swalwell

$2M Vol.

$69.9K today

$501K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancers
California·Sports

Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancers

100%

California Baptist Lancers

$210K Vol.

$210K today

$565K Liq.

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
California·Politics

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

60%

Dem-Rep

$40.6K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
California·Politics

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

68%

Eric Swalwell

$58.4K Vol.

$234K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
California·Politics

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

32%

$3M Vol.

$219K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
California·Business

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

17%

$70.3K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

California Golden Bears vs. Virginia Cavaliers
California·Sports

California Golden Bears vs. Virginia Cavaliers

88%

Virginia Cavaliers

$11.0K Vol.

$877 Liq.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. California-San Diego Tritons (W)
California·Sports

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. California-San Diego Tritons (W)

100%

California-San Diego Tritons

$0 Vol.

$127 Liq.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
California·Politics

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

59%

$0 Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

-2

Ends in 3 months

California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers (W)
California·Sports

California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers (W)

California Baptist Lancers

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

CA-04 Primary Winners
California·Politics

CA-04 Primary Winners

85%

Mike Thompson

$1.7K Vol.

$38.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
California·Politics

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

61%

Scott Wiener

$304K Vol.

$40.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

Los Angeles Mayoral Election
California·Politics

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

43%

Karen Bass

$383K Vol.

$77.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
California·Celebrities

Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?

12%

$35.3K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

CA-17 Primary Winners
California·Politics

CA-17 Primary Winners

90%

Ro Khanna

$7.3K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
California·Politics

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

28%

$84.2K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

15

Ends in 10 months

CA-22 Primary Winners
California·Politics

CA-22 Primary Winners

82%

David Valadao

$0 Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (March 13)
California·Finance

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (March 13)

<1%

Dumb

$72.2K Vol.

$196K Liq.

NCAAM Conference Tournament Winner: ACC
California·Sports

NCAAM Conference Tournament Winner: ACC

44%

Duke

$22.0K Vol.

$92 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like California.

Polymarket currently hosts 181 active markets for California that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Baptist Lancers”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “California Governor Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 69% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on California predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.