Tennessee's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the 90% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Matt Van Epps secured the seat in the December 2025 special election and advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Darden Copeland emerged from a competitive primary field. All major forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Republican, citing the district's voting history, including substantial Trump margins in prior cycles, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a reconfigured map covering suburban and rural Middle Tennessee counties. The 11% Democratic probability aligns with limited recent shifts in voter sentiment or campaign developments capable of narrowing the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-07 House Election Winner
TN-07 House Election Winner
$17,034 Vol.
$17,034 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
11%
$17,034 Vol.
$17,034 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$12,451 Vol.
90%
Democratic Party
$4,583 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the 90% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Matt Van Epps secured the seat in the December 2025 special election and advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Darden Copeland emerged from a competitive primary field. All major forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Republican, citing the district's voting history, including substantial Trump margins in prior cycles, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a reconfigured map covering suburban and rural Middle Tennessee counties. The 11% Democratic probability aligns with limited recent shifts in voter sentiment or campaign developments capable of narrowing the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$17,034End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the 90% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Matt Van Epps secured the seat in the December 2025 special election and advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Darden Copeland emerged from a competitive primary field. All major forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Republican, citing the district's voting history, including substantial Trump margins in prior cycles, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a reconfigured map covering suburban and rural Middle Tennessee counties. The 11% Democratic probability aligns with limited recent shifts in voter sentiment or campaign developments capable of narrowing the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,034End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the 90% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Matt Van Epps secured the seat in the December 2025 special election and advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Darden Copeland emerged from a competitive primary field. All major forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Republican, citing the district's voting history, including substantial Trump margins in prior cycles, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a reconfigured map covering suburban and rural Middle Tennessee counties. The 11% Democratic probability aligns with limited recent shifts in voter sentiment or campaign developments capable of narrowing the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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