New York’s 5th congressional district, anchored in southeast Queens, carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Long-serving incumbent Gregory Meeks faces no serious primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, preserving unified party resources and a sizable campaign war chest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, underscoring limited Republican recruitment and structural barriers to an upset. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though an unforeseen national political shift or late-cycle controversy could narrow the margin in the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-05 House Election Winner
$23,852 Wol.
$23,852 Wol.
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$23,852 Wol.
$23,852 Wol.
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 5th congressional district, anchored in southeast Queens, carries a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Long-serving incumbent Gregory Meeks faces no serious primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, preserving unified party resources and a sizable campaign war chest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, underscoring limited Republican recruitment and structural barriers to an upset. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though an unforeseen national political shift or late-cycle controversy could narrow the margin in the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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