The open seat in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District following Jared Golden’s retirement has produced a competitive general election between former Republican Gov. Paul LePage and Democratic nominee Matt Dunlap, with trader consensus reflecting the district’s consistent Republican presidential lean and LePage’s established name recognition. Dunlap advanced through ranked-choice voting in the June Democratic primary after trailing initially, while LePage faced no primary opposition. Recent July polling showed the race essentially tied, though earlier surveys and fundraising totals favored LePage. Heavy outside spending from both parties, including major ad reservations by aligned PACs, combined with debate scheduling disputes and the November election timeline, sustain the tight positioning ahead of voter turnout and late-cycle messaging on economic and policy issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
Paul LePage (R)
58%
Matthew Dunlap (D)
42%
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
Paul LePage (R)
$5,814 Vol.
58%
Matthew Dunlap (D)
$2,263 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District following Jared Golden’s retirement has produced a competitive general election between former Republican Gov. Paul LePage and Democratic nominee Matt Dunlap, with trader consensus reflecting the district’s consistent Republican presidential lean and LePage’s established name recognition. Dunlap advanced through ranked-choice voting in the June Democratic primary after trailing initially, while LePage faced no primary opposition. Recent July polling showed the race essentially tied, though earlier surveys and fundraising totals favored LePage. Heavy outside spending from both parties, including major ad reservations by aligned PACs, combined with debate scheduling disputes and the November election timeline, sustain the tight positioning ahead of voter turnout and late-cycle messaging on economic and policy issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$8,077End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District following Jared Golden’s retirement has produced a competitive general election between former Republican Gov. Paul LePage and Democratic nominee Matt Dunlap, with trader consensus reflecting the district’s consistent Republican presidential lean and LePage’s established name recognition. Dunlap advanced through ranked-choice voting in the June Democratic primary after trailing initially, while LePage faced no primary opposition. Recent July polling showed the race essentially tied, though earlier surveys and fundraising totals favored LePage. Heavy outside spending from both parties, including major ad reservations by aligned PACs, combined with debate scheduling disputes and the November election timeline, sustain the tight positioning ahead of voter turnout and late-cycle messaging on economic and policy issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,077End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The open seat in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District following Jared Golden’s retirement has produced a competitive general election between former Republican Gov. Paul LePage and Democratic nominee Matt Dunlap, with trader consensus reflecting the district’s consistent Republican presidential lean and LePage’s established name recognition. Dunlap advanced through ranked-choice voting in the June Democratic primary after trailing initially, while LePage faced no primary opposition. Recent July polling showed the race essentially tied, though earlier surveys and fundraising totals favored LePage. Heavy outside spending from both parties, including major ad reservations by aligned PACs, combined with debate scheduling disputes and the November election timeline, sustain the tight positioning ahead of voter turnout and late-cycle messaging on economic and policy issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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