**The redrawn Texas 9th Congressional District, previously held by Democrat Al Green for two decades, now leans solidly Republican following map changes that shifted its boundaries eastward and northward.** Alex Mealer secured the GOP nomination by defeating state Rep. Briscoe Cain 68-32% in the May 2026 primary runoff, aided by endorsements from President Trump, substantial fundraising exceeding $2 million, and a background as a West Point graduate, combat veteran, and former Harris County judge candidate. Leticia Gutierrez won her Democratic primary outright in March but has raised under $60,000 and faces structural headwinds in the district. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the post-redistricting electoral math and limited Democratic infrastructure. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus aligns with these partisan and resource imbalances while leaving room for standard late-cycle variables such as turnout or unforeseen events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$23,806 Vol.
$23,806 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Alex Mealer (R)
90%
Leticia Gutierrez (D)
10%
$23,806 Vol.
$23,806 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Alex Mealer (R)
$17,418 Vol.
90%
Leticia Gutierrez (D)
$6,388 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The redrawn Texas 9th Congressional District, previously held by Democrat Al Green for two decades, now leans solidly Republican following map changes that shifted its boundaries eastward and northward.** Alex Mealer secured the GOP nomination by defeating state Rep. Briscoe Cain 68-32% in the May 2026 primary runoff, aided by endorsements from President Trump, substantial fundraising exceeding $2 million, and a background as a West Point graduate, combat veteran, and former Harris County judge candidate. Leticia Gutierrez won her Democratic primary outright in March but has raised under $60,000 and faces structural headwinds in the district. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the post-redistricting electoral math and limited Democratic infrastructure. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus aligns with these partisan and resource imbalances while leaving room for standard late-cycle variables such as turnout or unforeseen events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$23,806End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**The redrawn Texas 9th Congressional District, previously held by Democrat Al Green for two decades, now leans solidly Republican following map changes that shifted its boundaries eastward and northward.** Alex Mealer secured the GOP nomination by defeating state Rep. Briscoe Cain 68-32% in the May 2026 primary runoff, aided by endorsements from President Trump, substantial fundraising exceeding $2 million, and a background as a West Point graduate, combat veteran, and former Harris County judge candidate. Leticia Gutierrez won her Democratic primary outright in March but has raised under $60,000 and faces structural headwinds in the district. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the post-redistricting electoral math and limited Democratic infrastructure. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus aligns with these partisan and resource imbalances while leaving room for standard late-cycle variables such as turnout or unforeseen events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,806End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The redrawn Texas 9th Congressional District, previously held by Democrat Al Green for two decades, now leans solidly Republican following map changes that shifted its boundaries eastward and northward.** Alex Mealer secured the GOP nomination by defeating state Rep. Briscoe Cain 68-32% in the May 2026 primary runoff, aided by endorsements from President Trump, substantial fundraising exceeding $2 million, and a background as a West Point graduate, combat veteran, and former Harris County judge candidate. Leticia Gutierrez won her Democratic primary outright in March but has raised under $60,000 and faces structural headwinds in the district. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the post-redistricting electoral math and limited Democratic infrastructure. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus aligns with these partisan and resource imbalances while leaving room for standard late-cycle variables such as turnout or unforeseen events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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