Arizona's 9th congressional district carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar faces limited opposition in the July 21 primaries and benefits from the district's consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House contests. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding 91.5% implied probability because the seat's structural advantages and lack of competitive Democratic recruitment have produced few signs of a serious challenge. A major scandal involving the nominee, an unexpectedly strong Democratic primary winner, or a broader national shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in this rural western Arizona district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-09 House Election Winner
AZ-09 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,873 Обс.
92%
Democratic Party
$3,996 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 9th congressional district carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar faces limited opposition in the July 21 primaries and benefits from the district's consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House contests. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding 91.5% implied probability because the seat's structural advantages and lack of competitive Democratic recruitment have produced few signs of a serious challenge. A major scandal involving the nominee, an unexpectedly strong Democratic primary winner, or a broader national shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in this rural western Arizona district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,869Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 9th congressional district carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar faces limited opposition in the July 21 primaries and benefits from the district's consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House contests. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding 91.5% implied probability because the seat's structural advantages and lack of competitive Democratic recruitment have produced few signs of a serious challenge. A major scandal involving the nominee, an unexpectedly strong Democratic primary winner, or a broader national shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in this rural western Arizona district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$6,869Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 9th congressional district carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar faces limited opposition in the July 21 primaries and benefits from the district's consistent Republican performance in recent presidential and House contests. Traders assign the Republican nominee a commanding 91.5% implied probability because the seat's structural advantages and lack of competitive Democratic recruitment have produced few signs of a serious challenge. A major scandal involving the nominee, an unexpectedly strong Democratic primary winner, or a broader national shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain uncommon in this rural western Arizona district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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