Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Ohio Senate Election Winner
Elections·Ohio Midterm

Ohio Senate Election Winner

icon for Ohio Senate Election Winner
Elections·Ohio Midterm

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Polymarket

$354,334 Vol.

Polymarket

$354,334 Vol.

icon for Sherrod Brown (D)

Sherrod Brown (D)

$203,933 Vol.

56%

icon for Jon Husted (R)

Jon Husted (R)

$150,401 Vol.

44%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling aggregates give Democratic nominee Sherrod Brown a modest edge over Republican incumbent Jon Husted in the November special election for Ohio’s Senate seat, with averages showing Brown ahead by roughly four to six points. This positioning aligns with trader consensus, as Brown benefits from higher name recognition after his prior Senate service and stronger second-quarter fundraising that outpaced Husted. Husted, appointed in 2025 to fill the vacancy created by JD Vance’s departure, faces a competitive environment rated as a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Key variables include turnout among older voters, outside spending projected to exceed $700 million, and any shifts in the broader midterm climate that could influence the race’s final margin before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$354,334
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling aggregates give Democratic nominee Sherrod Brown a modest edge over Republican incumbent Jon Husted in the November special election for Ohio’s Senate seat, with averages showing Brown ahead by roughly four to six points. This positioning aligns with trader consensus, as Brown benefits from higher name recognition after his prior Senate service and stronger second-quarter fundraising that outpaced Husted. Husted, appointed in 2025 to fill the vacancy created by JD Vance’s departure, faces a competitive environment rated as a toss-up by multiple forecasters. Key variables include turnout among older voters, outside spending projected to exceed $700 million, and any shifts in the broader midterm climate that could influence the race’s final margin before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$354,334
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Related

icon for Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

93%
icon for Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

55%
icon for Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?

Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?

96%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Ohio Senate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sherrod Brown (D)" at 56%, followed by "Jon Husted (R)" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ohio Senate Election Winner" has generated $354.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ohio Senate Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ohio Senate Election Winner" is "Sherrod Brown (D)" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Husted (R)" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ohio Senate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.