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Politics·Midterms

Alaska Governor Election Winner

icon for Alaska Governor Election Winner
Politics·Midterms

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Tom Begich 39%

Bernadette Wilson 25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 11.2%

Treg Taylor 10.3%

Polymarket

$975,835 Vol.

Tom Begich 39%

Bernadette Wilson 25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 11.2%

Treg Taylor 10.3%

Polymarket

$975,835 Vol.

icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$115,149 Vol.

39%

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$151,298 Vol.

25%

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$7,445 Vol.

11%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$19,931 Vol.

10%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$9,521 Vol.

6%

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$117,377 Vol.

5%

icon for David Bronson

David Bronson

$10,988 Vol.

5%

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$324,806 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$5,686 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$29,728 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$104,238 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$39,259 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$8,494 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$9,661 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lisa Murkowski

Lisa Murkowski

$13,978 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$3,417 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$4,860 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Tom Begich holds the strongest position in trader consensus for the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race due to his early declaration as the first major Democratic candidate, prior service as state senate minority leader, and consistent leads in recent statewide polling that show him ahead in both the nonpartisan top-four primary and subsequent ranked-choice general election. A crowded field of Republican contenders, including Bernadette Wilson, Treg Taylor, and Click Bishop, continues to fragment support on the right while Begich benefits from unified Democratic-leaning voters and name recognition tied to his family’s political legacy. The open seat created by term limits on incumbent Mike Dunleavy, combined with Alaska’s August primary and November ranked-choice voting format, further amplifies the value traders place on candidates who can consolidate votes across rounds. No major shifts have occurred in the past month to alter this early positioning.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$975,835
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Tom Begich holds the strongest position in trader consensus for the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race due to his early declaration as the first major Democratic candidate, prior service as state senate minority leader, and consistent leads in recent statewide polling that show him ahead in both the nonpartisan top-four primary and subsequent ranked-choice general election. A crowded field of Republican contenders, including Bernadette Wilson, Treg Taylor, and Click Bishop, continues to fragment support on the right while Begich benefits from unified Democratic-leaning voters and name recognition tied to his family’s political legacy. The open seat created by term limits on incumbent Mike Dunleavy, combined with Alaska’s August primary and November ranked-choice voting format, further amplifies the value traders place on candidates who can consolidate votes across rounds. No major shifts have occurred in the past month to alter this early positioning.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$975,835
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Alaska Governor Election Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Begich" at 39%, followed by "Bernadette Wilson" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alaska Governor Election Winner " has generated $975.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alaska Governor Election Winner ," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alaska Governor Election Winner " is "Tom Begich" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernadette Wilson" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alaska Governor Election Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.