Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart seeks re-election in Florida's 26th congressional district, where post-redistricting maps approved in spring 2026 preserved a Republican lean equivalent to roughly R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries. Limited Democratic primary activity between Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, sustains trader expectations of continued Republican control despite any national generic ballot trends. The district's partisan composition and Díaz-Balart's prior 70.9% general-election margin in 2024 further anchor the current 82.5% Republican implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,724 Vol.
$29,724 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
83%
民主党
17%
$29,724 Vol.
$29,724 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$13,602 Vol.
83%
民主党
$16,122 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart seeks re-election in Florida's 26th congressional district, where post-redistricting maps approved in spring 2026 preserved a Republican lean equivalent to roughly R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries. Limited Democratic primary activity between Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, sustains trader expectations of continued Republican control despite any national generic ballot trends. The district's partisan composition and Díaz-Balart's prior 70.9% general-election margin in 2024 further anchor the current 82.5% Republican implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$29,724終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart seeks re-election in Florida's 26th congressional district, where post-redistricting maps approved in spring 2026 preserved a Republican lean equivalent to roughly R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries. Limited Democratic primary activity between Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, sustains trader expectations of continued Republican control despite any national generic ballot trends. The district's partisan composition and Díaz-Balart's prior 70.9% general-election margin in 2024 further anchor the current 82.5% Republican implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$29,724終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart seeks re-election in Florida's 26th congressional district, where post-redistricting maps approved in spring 2026 preserved a Republican lean equivalent to roughly R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Safe Republican ahead of the August 18 primaries. Limited Democratic primary activity between Yurina Gil and Nicole Locklin, combined with the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition, sustains trader expectations of continued Republican control despite any national generic ballot trends. The district's partisan composition and Díaz-Balart's prior 70.9% general-election margin in 2024 further anchor the current 82.5% Republican implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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