Washington’s 9th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with more than 65 percent in 2024, faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the August 4 top-two primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the district’s composition in southern and eastern Seattle suburbs. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s baseline partisan advantage before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWA-09 House Election Winner
WA-09 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,009 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$6,381 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 9th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with more than 65 percent in 2024, faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the August 4 top-two primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the district’s composition in southern and eastern Seattle suburbs. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s baseline partisan advantage before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,390Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 9th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with more than 65 percent in 2024, faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the August 4 top-two primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the district’s composition in southern and eastern Seattle suburbs. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s baseline partisan advantage before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$9,390Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 9th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22 and has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with more than 65 percent in 2024, faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the August 4 top-two primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and the district’s composition in southern and eastern Seattle suburbs. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s baseline partisan advantage before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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