Washington’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Long-serving incumbent Adam Smith faces a nonpartisan primary on August 4, 2026, against Republican Doug Basler and other challengers, but the district’s voter base in southern and eastern Seattle suburbs has delivered Democratic general-election margins above 65% in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in candidate quality or fundraising. A national Republican wave, an unexpected primary upset, or late developments affecting Smith remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-09 House Election Winner
WA-09 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,009 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$6,381 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Long-serving incumbent Adam Smith faces a nonpartisan primary on August 4, 2026, against Republican Doug Basler and other challengers, but the district’s voter base in southern and eastern Seattle suburbs has delivered Democratic general-election margins above 65% in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in candidate quality or fundraising. A national Republican wave, an unexpected primary upset, or late developments affecting Smith remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,390วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Long-serving incumbent Adam Smith faces a nonpartisan primary on August 4, 2026, against Republican Doug Basler and other challengers, but the district’s voter base in southern and eastern Seattle suburbs has delivered Democratic general-election margins above 65% in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in candidate quality or fundraising. A national Republican wave, an unexpected primary upset, or late developments affecting Smith remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,390วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Long-serving incumbent Adam Smith faces a nonpartisan primary on August 4, 2026, against Republican Doug Basler and other challengers, but the district’s voter base in southern and eastern Seattle suburbs has delivered Democratic general-election margins above 65% in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts in candidate quality or fundraising. A national Republican wave, an unexpected primary upset, or late developments affecting Smith remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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