Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent results favoring Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Long-serving incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with over 65 percent in 2024, faces limited opposition ahead of the August 2026 top-two primary and November general election. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, with no major polling shifts or candidate developments altering the outlook as of mid-2026. Traders price Democratic victory near 93.5 percent based on this structural advantage and incumbency. A national Republican wave, unexpected primary upset, or significant late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent represent the primary realistic paths that could narrow the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,009 Vol.
94%
共和党
$6,381 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent results favoring Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Long-serving incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with over 65 percent in 2024, faces limited opposition ahead of the August 2026 top-two primary and November general election. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, with no major polling shifts or candidate developments altering the outlook as of mid-2026. Traders price Democratic victory near 93.5 percent based on this structural advantage and incumbency. A national Republican wave, unexpected primary upset, or significant late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent represent the primary realistic paths that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$9,390終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent results favoring Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Long-serving incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with over 65 percent in 2024, faces limited opposition ahead of the August 2026 top-two primary and November general election. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, with no major polling shifts or candidate developments altering the outlook as of mid-2026. Traders price Democratic victory near 93.5 percent based on this structural advantage and incumbency. A national Republican wave, unexpected primary upset, or significant late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent represent the primary realistic paths that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,390終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent results favoring Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Long-serving incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with over 65 percent in 2024, faces limited opposition ahead of the August 2026 top-two primary and November general election. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, with no major polling shifts or candidate developments altering the outlook as of mid-2026. Traders price Democratic victory near 93.5 percent based on this structural advantage and incumbency. A national Republican wave, unexpected primary upset, or significant late-cycle scandal involving the incumbent represent the primary realistic paths that could narrow the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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