Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results favoring Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith, first elected in 1997 and re-elected with over 65% in 2024, faces limited opposition in the August 4, 2026 top-two primary, including fellow Democrat Melissa Chaudhry and Republican Doug Basler. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win aligns with the district's electoral math and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or notable scandals. A shift in odds would require an unanticipated primary upset advancing a weaker Democratic nominee or a late-cycle national wave altering turnout patterns among suburban and urban voters in the Seattle area.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWA-09 House Election Winner
WA-09 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,009 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$6,381 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results favoring Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith, first elected in 1997 and re-elected with over 65% in 2024, faces limited opposition in the August 4, 2026 top-two primary, including fellow Democrat Melissa Chaudhry and Republican Doug Basler. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win aligns with the district's electoral math and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or notable scandals. A shift in odds would require an unanticipated primary upset advancing a weaker Democratic nominee or a late-cycle national wave altering turnout patterns among suburban and urban voters in the Seattle area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,390Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results favoring Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith, first elected in 1997 and re-elected with over 65% in 2024, faces limited opposition in the August 4, 2026 top-two primary, including fellow Democrat Melissa Chaudhry and Republican Doug Basler. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win aligns with the district's electoral math and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or notable scandals. A shift in odds would require an unanticipated primary upset advancing a weaker Democratic nominee or a late-cycle national wave altering turnout patterns among suburban and urban voters in the Seattle area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$9,390Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent results favoring Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith, first elected in 1997 and re-elected with over 65% in 2024, faces limited opposition in the August 4, 2026 top-two primary, including fellow Democrat Melissa Chaudhry and Republican Doug Basler. Trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win aligns with the district's electoral math and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or notable scandals. A shift in odds would require an unanticipated primary upset advancing a weaker Democratic nominee or a late-cycle national wave altering turnout patterns among suburban and urban voters in the Seattle area.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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