The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district due to its established partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and consistent safe or solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Tim Kennedy won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin and faces limited opposition after both party primaries were canceled, with Republican Dennis Hannon advancing unopposed. These structural factors, combined with the district’s urban and suburban makeup in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area, underpin trader consensus on the outcome. A late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic nominee, a significant shift in national political conditions ahead of the November 2026 general election, or an unforeseen health or candidacy development could still alter the race dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,819 交易量
$24,819 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
91%
共和党
10%
$24,819 交易量
$24,819 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$13,225 交易量
91%
共和党
$11,595 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district due to its established partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and consistent safe or solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Tim Kennedy won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin and faces limited opposition after both party primaries were canceled, with Republican Dennis Hannon advancing unopposed. These structural factors, combined with the district’s urban and suburban makeup in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area, underpin trader consensus on the outcome. A late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic nominee, a significant shift in national political conditions ahead of the November 2026 general election, or an unforeseen health or candidacy development could still alter the race dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$24,819结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district due to its established partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and consistent safe or solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Tim Kennedy won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin and faces limited opposition after both party primaries were canceled, with Republican Dennis Hannon advancing unopposed. These structural factors, combined with the district’s urban and suburban makeup in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area, underpin trader consensus on the outcome. A late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic nominee, a significant shift in national political conditions ahead of the November 2026 general election, or an unforeseen health or candidacy development could still alter the race dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,819结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district due to its established partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and consistent safe or solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Tim Kennedy won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin and faces limited opposition after both party primaries were canceled, with Republican Dennis Hannon advancing unopposed. These structural factors, combined with the district’s urban and suburban makeup in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area, underpin trader consensus on the outcome. A late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic nominee, a significant shift in national political conditions ahead of the November 2026 general election, or an unforeseen health or candidacy development could still alter the race dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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