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Politics·Primaries

WA-09 Primary Winners

icon for WA-09 Primary Winners
Politics·Primaries

WA-09 Primary Winners

NEW
Aug 4, 2026
Polymarket

$340 Vol.

Polymarket

Adam Smith

$74 Vol.

93%

Doug Basler

$160 Vol.

65%

Kshama Sawant

$5 Vol.

32%

Melissa Chaudhry

$32 Vol.

19%

Jacob Perasso

$69 Vol.

3%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s 9th Congressional District holds its top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with all candidates appearing on one ballot. Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith faces two Democratic challengers, an Independent former Seattle councilmember, and minor-party opponents in a district that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. The top two vote-getters advance to the November general election, making the contest primarily about which candidates consolidate support among Democratic and progressive voters versus any Republican or independent crossover. No major candidate withdrawals or last-minute endorsements have altered the field in recent weeks, leaving voter turnout among core Democratic constituencies and any late polling shifts as the main variables that could determine the pair advancing.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$340
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s 9th Congressional District holds its top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with all candidates appearing on one ballot. Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith faces two Democratic challengers, an Independent former Seattle councilmember, and minor-party opponents in a district that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. The top two vote-getters advance to the November general election, making the contest primarily about which candidates consolidate support among Democratic and progressive voters versus any Republican or independent crossover. No major candidate withdrawals or last-minute endorsements have altered the field in recent weeks, leaving voter turnout among core Democratic constituencies and any late polling shifts as the main variables that could determine the pair advancing.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$340
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"WA-09 Primary Winners" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Adam Smith" at 93%, followed by "Doug Basler" at 65%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"WA-09 Primary Winners" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "WA-09 Primary Winners," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WA-09 Primary Winners" is "Adam Smith" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Doug Basler" at 65%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WA-09 Primary Winners" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.