Democratic incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Morelle, first elected in a 2018 special election, has maintained strong fundraising and faced no serious primary or general-election threats in prior cycles. The June 23 Democratic primary features the incumbent against lesser-known challengers, while Republican opposition remains minimal and uncompetitive. Traders price this outcome heavily because the district’s Rochester-area electorate and structural advantages have produced reliable Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent elections. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national Republican surge could still alter the trajectory before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-25
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-25
$24,969 Объем
$24,969 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
4%
$24,969 Объем
$24,969 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$14,884 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$10,085 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Morelle, first elected in a 2018 special election, has maintained strong fundraising and faced no serious primary or general-election threats in prior cycles. The June 23 Democratic primary features the incumbent against lesser-known challengers, while Republican opposition remains minimal and uncompetitive. Traders price this outcome heavily because the district’s Rochester-area electorate and structural advantages have produced reliable Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent elections. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national Republican surge could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$24,969Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Morelle, first elected in a 2018 special election, has maintained strong fundraising and faced no serious primary or general-election threats in prior cycles. The June 23 Democratic primary features the incumbent against lesser-known challengers, while Republican opposition remains minimal and uncompetitive. Traders price this outcome heavily because the district’s Rochester-area electorate and structural advantages have produced reliable Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent elections. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national Republican surge could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$24,969Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Democratic” or “Safe Democratic” ratings from major forecasters. Morelle, first elected in a 2018 special election, has maintained strong fundraising and faced no serious primary or general-election threats in prior cycles. The June 23 Democratic primary features the incumbent against lesser-known challengers, while Republican opposition remains minimal and uncompetitive. Traders price this outcome heavily because the district’s Rochester-area electorate and structural advantages have produced reliable Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent elections. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national Republican surge could still alter the trajectory before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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