Washington’s 4th congressional district, rated R+10 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and viewed as Solid Republican by major forecasters, features an open seat after incumbent Dan Newhouse announced he would not seek reelection. Multiple Republican candidates, including early fundraising leader Amanda McKinney, state Sen. Matt Boehnke, and Jerrod Sessler, are competing in the August 4 top-two primary, while Democrats have consolidated behind a single contender, retired Air Force Maj. John Duresky. The district’s conservative lean and the absence of a strong Democratic threat underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November general election, though the crowded primary field and Washington’s open-primary system introduce some uncertainty about the final matchup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWA-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WA-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$29,950 Vol.
$29,950 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
87%
Partido Demócrata
13%
$29,950 Vol.
$29,950 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$15,124 Vol.
87%
Partido Demócrata
$14,826 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 4th congressional district, rated R+10 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and viewed as Solid Republican by major forecasters, features an open seat after incumbent Dan Newhouse announced he would not seek reelection. Multiple Republican candidates, including early fundraising leader Amanda McKinney, state Sen. Matt Boehnke, and Jerrod Sessler, are competing in the August 4 top-two primary, while Democrats have consolidated behind a single contender, retired Air Force Maj. John Duresky. The district’s conservative lean and the absence of a strong Democratic threat underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November general election, though the crowded primary field and Washington’s open-primary system introduce some uncertainty about the final matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$29,950Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 4th congressional district, rated R+10 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and viewed as Solid Republican by major forecasters, features an open seat after incumbent Dan Newhouse announced he would not seek reelection. Multiple Republican candidates, including early fundraising leader Amanda McKinney, state Sen. Matt Boehnke, and Jerrod Sessler, are competing in the August 4 top-two primary, while Democrats have consolidated behind a single contender, retired Air Force Maj. John Duresky. The district’s conservative lean and the absence of a strong Democratic threat underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November general election, though the crowded primary field and Washington’s open-primary system introduce some uncertainty about the final matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$29,950Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 4th congressional district, rated R+10 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and viewed as Solid Republican by major forecasters, features an open seat after incumbent Dan Newhouse announced he would not seek reelection. Multiple Republican candidates, including early fundraising leader Amanda McKinney, state Sen. Matt Boehnke, and Jerrod Sessler, are competing in the August 4 top-two primary, while Democrats have consolidated behind a single contender, retired Air Force Maj. John Duresky. The district’s conservative lean and the absence of a strong Democratic threat underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican victory in the November general election, though the crowded primary field and Washington’s open-primary system introduce some uncertainty about the final matchup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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