Washington’s 7th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and consistent general-election margins exceeding 80 percent for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal faces only nominal Republican opposition ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election, producing the current trader consensus that a Democratic hold is the overwhelming outcome. The absence of credible challengers, combined with the district’s urban Seattle core and historical voting patterns, anchors pricing near these levels. A major personal or legal development involving the incumbent or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though both remain low-probability events given the structural margin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWA-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
WA-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$4,175 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$3,458 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 7th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and consistent general-election margins exceeding 80 percent for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal faces only nominal Republican opposition ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election, producing the current trader consensus that a Democratic hold is the overwhelming outcome. The absence of credible challengers, combined with the district’s urban Seattle core and historical voting patterns, anchors pricing near these levels. A major personal or legal development involving the incumbent or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though both remain low-probability events given the structural margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$7,633Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 7th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and consistent general-election margins exceeding 80 percent for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal faces only nominal Republican opposition ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election, producing the current trader consensus that a Democratic hold is the overwhelming outcome. The absence of credible challengers, combined with the district’s urban Seattle core and historical voting patterns, anchors pricing near these levels. A major personal or legal development involving the incumbent or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though both remain low-probability events given the structural margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$7,633Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 7th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+39 and consistent general-election margins exceeding 80 percent for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal faces only nominal Republican opposition ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election, producing the current trader consensus that a Democratic hold is the overwhelming outcome. The absence of credible challengers, combined with the district’s urban Seattle core and historical voting patterns, anchors pricing near these levels. A major personal or legal development involving the incumbent or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory, though both remain low-probability events given the structural margin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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