Incumbent Democrat John Mannion seeks a second term in New York’s 22nd congressional district, a central upstate area including Syracuse and Utica that carries a D+4 partisan voter index and flipped to Democratic control in 2024. With the June primaries canceled and Republican Kailee Buller advancing as the general-election nominee, the contest remains early-stage with no major recent campaign events or polling shifts to separate the candidates. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome at 51 percent and the Republican at 44 percent, reflecting the district’s modest lean alongside national midterm dynamics, Mannion’s incumbency advantage, and both sides’ fundraising efforts that keep the race within reach for either party ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-22
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-22
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
50%
Республиканская партия
50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$580 Объем
50%
Республиканская партия
$497 Объем
50%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Mannion seeks a second term in New York’s 22nd congressional district, a central upstate area including Syracuse and Utica that carries a D+4 partisan voter index and flipped to Democratic control in 2024. With the June primaries canceled and Republican Kailee Buller advancing as the general-election nominee, the contest remains early-stage with no major recent campaign events or polling shifts to separate the candidates. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome at 51 percent and the Republican at 44 percent, reflecting the district’s modest lean alongside national midterm dynamics, Mannion’s incumbency advantage, and both sides’ fundraising efforts that keep the race within reach for either party ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Объем
$1,032Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Mannion seeks a second term in New York’s 22nd congressional district, a central upstate area including Syracuse and Utica that carries a D+4 partisan voter index and flipped to Democratic control in 2024. With the June primaries canceled and Republican Kailee Buller advancing as the general-election nominee, the contest remains early-stage with no major recent campaign events or polling shifts to separate the candidates. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome at 51 percent and the Republican at 44 percent, reflecting the district’s modest lean alongside national midterm dynamics, Mannion’s incumbency advantage, and both sides’ fundraising efforts that keep the race within reach for either party ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$1,032Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat John Mannion seeks a second term in New York’s 22nd congressional district, a central upstate area including Syracuse and Utica that carries a D+4 partisan voter index and flipped to Democratic control in 2024. With the June primaries canceled and Republican Kailee Buller advancing as the general-election nominee, the contest remains early-stage with no major recent campaign events or polling shifts to separate the candidates. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome at 51 percent and the Republican at 44 percent, reflecting the district’s modest lean alongside national midterm dynamics, Mannion’s incumbency advantage, and both sides’ fundraising efforts that keep the race within reach for either party ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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