New York’s 23rd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 21-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Representative Nick Langworthy faces only nominal primary opposition on June 23 before the November general election, while Democratic primary contenders have not generated competitive polling or fundraising signals. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections rate the seat Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s historical performance and limited recent Democratic infrastructure. These structural factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party outcome at current market levels, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the balance before primary results.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants NY-23
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants NY-23
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
81%
Parti démocrate
16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$4,555 Vol.
81%
Parti démocrate
$2,229 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 23rd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 21-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Representative Nick Langworthy faces only nominal primary opposition on June 23 before the November general election, while Democratic primary contenders have not generated competitive polling or fundraising signals. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections rate the seat Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s historical performance and limited recent Democratic infrastructure. These structural factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party outcome at current market levels, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the balance before primary results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$6,785Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 23rd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 21-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Representative Nick Langworthy faces only nominal primary opposition on June 23 before the November general election, while Democratic primary contenders have not generated competitive polling or fundraising signals. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections rate the seat Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s historical performance and limited recent Democratic infrastructure. These structural factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party outcome at current market levels, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the balance before primary results.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,785Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 23rd congressional district maintains a solid Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 21-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Representative Nick Langworthy faces only nominal primary opposition on June 23 before the November general election, while Democratic primary contenders have not generated competitive polling or fundraising signals. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report and Inside Elections rate the seat Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s historical performance and limited recent Democratic infrastructure. These structural factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party outcome at current market levels, with limited near-term catalysts expected to alter the balance before primary results.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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