Incumbent Republican Rick Allen secured his party's nomination in Georgia's 12th congressional district with over 83 percent of the primary vote, while Democratic candidates advanced to a June 16 runoff after a fragmented field. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and has not elected a Democrat since 2014, providing the Republican nominee with a clear path to victory through established voter support and incumbency advantages. These structural factors align with trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 80 percent implied probability of winning the November general election, though Democratic performance in the runoff and subsequent general election turnout among key voting blocs could influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,382 Vol.
$17,382 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
80%
民主党
20%
$17,382 Vol.
$17,382 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,376 Vol.
80%
民主党
$10,006 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Allen secured his party's nomination in Georgia's 12th congressional district with over 83 percent of the primary vote, while Democratic candidates advanced to a June 16 runoff after a fragmented field. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and has not elected a Democrat since 2014, providing the Republican nominee with a clear path to victory through established voter support and incumbency advantages. These structural factors align with trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 80 percent implied probability of winning the November general election, though Democratic performance in the runoff and subsequent general election turnout among key voting blocs could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$17,382終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Allen secured his party's nomination in Georgia's 12th congressional district with over 83 percent of the primary vote, while Democratic candidates advanced to a June 16 runoff after a fragmented field. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and has not elected a Democrat since 2014, providing the Republican nominee with a clear path to victory through established voter support and incumbency advantages. These structural factors align with trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 80 percent implied probability of winning the November general election, though Democratic performance in the runoff and subsequent general election turnout among key voting blocs could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,382終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Allen secured his party's nomination in Georgia's 12th congressional district with over 83 percent of the primary vote, while Democratic candidates advanced to a June 16 runoff after a fragmented field. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and has not elected a Democrat since 2014, providing the Republican nominee with a clear path to victory through established voter support and incumbency advantages. These structural factors align with trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 80 percent implied probability of winning the November general election, though Democratic performance in the runoff and subsequent general election turnout among key voting blocs could influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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