Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee secured her party's nomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote in Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district, facing Republican James Hayes in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid Democratic rating by nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Primary results and the absence of competitive Republican challengers reinforced this positioning in recent weeks. Factors that could still shift outcomes include late developments such as a significant scandal, candidate health issue, or unexpected national political realignment that alters turnout or voter priorities before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa PA-12
Vencedor da eleição da casa PA-12
$12,153 Vol.
$12,153 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$12,153 Vol.
$12,153 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$10,536 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$1,617 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee secured her party's nomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote in Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district, facing Republican James Hayes in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid Democratic rating by nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Primary results and the absence of competitive Republican challengers reinforced this positioning in recent weeks. Factors that could still shift outcomes include late developments such as a significant scandal, candidate health issue, or unexpected national political realignment that alters turnout or voter priorities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$12,153Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee secured her party's nomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote in Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district, facing Republican James Hayes in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid Democratic rating by nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Primary results and the absence of competitive Republican challengers reinforced this positioning in recent weeks. Factors that could still shift outcomes include late developments such as a significant scandal, candidate health issue, or unexpected national political realignment that alters turnout or voter priorities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,153Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Summer Lee secured her party's nomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote in Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district, facing Republican James Hayes in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid Democratic rating by nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Primary results and the absence of competitive Republican challengers reinforced this positioning in recent weeks. Factors that could still shift outcomes include late developments such as a significant scandal, candidate health issue, or unexpected national political realignment that alters turnout or voter priorities before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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