New York’s 8th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic stronghold centered in Brooklyn, where incumbent Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position as House Minority Leader. The seat’s partisan voter index of D+24 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. With the June 23 primary approaching and Republican candidates drawing limited attention or resources, few developments have emerged to alter the outlook. A significant national Republican wave or an unusually divisive Democratic primary could introduce modest volatility, yet structural factors and historical turnout patterns continue to support the pronounced probability gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NY-08
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NY-08
$21,214 Vol.
$21,214 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
92%
Partido Republicano
8%
$21,214 Vol.
$21,214 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$11,494 Vol.
92%
Partido Republicano
$9,719 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 8th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic stronghold centered in Brooklyn, where incumbent Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position as House Minority Leader. The seat’s partisan voter index of D+24 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. With the June 23 primary approaching and Republican candidates drawing limited attention or resources, few developments have emerged to alter the outlook. A significant national Republican wave or an unusually divisive Democratic primary could introduce modest volatility, yet structural factors and historical turnout patterns continue to support the pronounced probability gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$21,214Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 8th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic stronghold centered in Brooklyn, where incumbent Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position as House Minority Leader. The seat’s partisan voter index of D+24 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. With the June 23 primary approaching and Republican candidates drawing limited attention or resources, few developments have emerged to alter the outlook. A significant national Republican wave or an unusually divisive Democratic primary could introduce modest volatility, yet structural factors and historical turnout patterns continue to support the pronounced probability gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$21,214Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 8th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic stronghold centered in Brooklyn, where incumbent Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position as House Minority Leader. The seat’s partisan voter index of D+24 and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. With the June 23 primary approaching and Republican candidates drawing limited attention or resources, few developments have emerged to alter the outlook. A significant national Republican wave or an unusually divisive Democratic primary could introduce modest volatility, yet structural factors and historical turnout patterns continue to support the pronounced probability gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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