Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent Democratic representative and House Minority Leader, faces Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi in New York’s 8th congressional district, a Brooklyn-based seat with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index. Jeffries ran unopposed in the June 2026 Democratic primary after a potential challenger withdrew, while Mizrahi secured the Republican nomination without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Jeffries’ 75% margin in 2024. The district’s voter base and Jeffries’ established position have produced the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though the seat’s structural advantages make such changes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-08 House Election Winner
NY-08 House Election Winner
$32,611 Vol.
$32,611 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$32,611 Vol.
$32,611 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,128 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$18,483 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent Democratic representative and House Minority Leader, faces Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi in New York’s 8th congressional district, a Brooklyn-based seat with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index. Jeffries ran unopposed in the June 2026 Democratic primary after a potential challenger withdrew, while Mizrahi secured the Republican nomination without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Jeffries’ 75% margin in 2024. The district’s voter base and Jeffries’ established position have produced the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though the seat’s structural advantages make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$32,611End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent Democratic representative and House Minority Leader, faces Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi in New York’s 8th congressional district, a Brooklyn-based seat with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index. Jeffries ran unopposed in the June 2026 Democratic primary after a potential challenger withdrew, while Mizrahi secured the Republican nomination without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Jeffries’ 75% margin in 2024. The district’s voter base and Jeffries’ established position have produced the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though the seat’s structural advantages make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,611End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hakeem Jeffries, the incumbent Democratic representative and House Minority Leader, faces Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi in New York’s 8th congressional district, a Brooklyn-based seat with a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index. Jeffries ran unopposed in the June 2026 Democratic primary after a potential challenger withdrew, while Mizrahi secured the Republican nomination without opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Jeffries’ 75% margin in 2024. The district’s voter base and Jeffries’ established position have produced the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though the seat’s structural advantages make such changes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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