New York’s 7th congressional district, covering progressive Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles, with no Republican holding the seat in over three decades. Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with 56 percent of the vote, defeating Antonio Reynoso and consolidating support from labor, DSA-aligned groups, and local elected officials. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, and the Republican nominee faces minimal organized opposition or fundraising. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Democrats reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics ahead of the November 3 vote. Late developments such as a major scandal, nominee withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout collapse would be required to alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-07 House Election Winner
NY-07 House Election Winner
$30,227 Vol.
$30,227 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
$30,227 Vol.
$30,227 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,469 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$14,758 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th congressional district, covering progressive Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles, with no Republican holding the seat in over three decades. Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with 56 percent of the vote, defeating Antonio Reynoso and consolidating support from labor, DSA-aligned groups, and local elected officials. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, and the Republican nominee faces minimal organized opposition or fundraising. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Democrats reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics ahead of the November 3 vote. Late developments such as a major scandal, nominee withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout collapse would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$30,227End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th congressional district, covering progressive Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles, with no Republican holding the seat in over three decades. Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with 56 percent of the vote, defeating Antonio Reynoso and consolidating support from labor, DSA-aligned groups, and local elected officials. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, and the Republican nominee faces minimal organized opposition or fundraising. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Democrats reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics ahead of the November 3 vote. Late developments such as a major scandal, nominee withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout collapse would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,227End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 7th congressional district, covering progressive Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles, with no Republican holding the seat in over three decades. Claire Valdez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23 primary with 56 percent of the vote, defeating Antonio Reynoso and consolidating support from labor, DSA-aligned groups, and local elected officials. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, and the Republican nominee faces minimal organized opposition or fundraising. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Democrats reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics ahead of the November 3 vote. Late developments such as a major scandal, nominee withdrawal, or unprecedented turnout collapse would be required to alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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