New York’s 6th Congressional District, centered in Queens, has long favored Democratic candidates in federal elections due to its demographic makeup and voting history. Incumbent Representative Grace Meng secured her party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Joseph Chou in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and consistent margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-06 House Election Winner
NY-06 House Election Winner
$21,579 Vol.
$21,579 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$21,579 Vol.
$21,579 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,007 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$11,572 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 6th Congressional District, centered in Queens, has long favored Democratic candidates in federal elections due to its demographic makeup and voting history. Incumbent Representative Grace Meng secured her party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Joseph Chou in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and consistent margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$21,579End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 6th Congressional District, centered in Queens, has long favored Democratic candidates in federal elections due to its demographic makeup and voting history. Incumbent Representative Grace Meng secured her party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Joseph Chou in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and consistent margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,579End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 6th Congressional District, centered in Queens, has long favored Democratic candidates in federal elections due to its demographic makeup and voting history. Incumbent Representative Grace Meng secured her party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Republican Joseph Chou in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and consistent margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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