Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District, anchored in the Knoxville area, features incumbent Republican Tim Burchett seeking reelection in a seat with an R+17 partisan voting index that remained largely unchanged after May 2026 redistricting. Burchett’s 69 percent share of the vote in the prior cycle and minimal intra-party primary opposition align with the district’s consistent Republican tilt ahead of the August 6 primary and November 3 general election. Democratic challengers, including presumptive nominee Michaela Barnett, face structural headwinds in a constituency where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican. A national Democratic wave, late primary surprise, or significant scandal could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain unlikely without major intervening developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTN-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$24,592 Vol.
$24,592 Vol.
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
7%
$24,592 Vol.
$24,592 Vol.
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District, anchored in the Knoxville area, features incumbent Republican Tim Burchett seeking reelection in a seat with an R+17 partisan voting index that remained largely unchanged after May 2026 redistricting. Burchett’s 69 percent share of the vote in the prior cycle and minimal intra-party primary opposition align with the district’s consistent Republican tilt ahead of the August 6 primary and November 3 general election. Democratic challengers, including presumptive nominee Michaela Barnett, face structural headwinds in a constituency where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican. A national Democratic wave, late primary surprise, or significant scandal could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain unlikely without major intervening developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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