Incumbent Riley Moore holds a commanding position in the WV-02 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Partisan Voter Index and strong performance in recent presidential elections. As the sitting representative, Moore secured an uncontested primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Ace Parsi, who narrowly won his May primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican with no recent polling or events indicating a shift. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political realignment could theoretically alter the outcome, though the district's voting patterns suggest limited vulnerability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWV-02 House Election Winner
WV-02 House Election Winner
$97,351 Vol.
$97,351 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Riley Moore (R)
94%
Ace Parsi (D)
2%
$97,351 Vol.
$97,351 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Riley Moore (R)
$68,915 Vol.
94%
Ace Parsi (D)
$28,435 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Riley Moore holds a commanding position in the WV-02 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Partisan Voter Index and strong performance in recent presidential elections. As the sitting representative, Moore secured an uncontested primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Ace Parsi, who narrowly won his May primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican with no recent polling or events indicating a shift. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political realignment could theoretically alter the outcome, though the district's voting patterns suggest limited vulnerability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$97,351End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Riley Moore holds a commanding position in the WV-02 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Partisan Voter Index and strong performance in recent presidential elections. As the sitting representative, Moore secured an uncontested primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Ace Parsi, who narrowly won his May primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican with no recent polling or events indicating a shift. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political realignment could theoretically alter the outcome, though the district's voting patterns suggest limited vulnerability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$97,351End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Riley Moore holds a commanding position in the WV-02 race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Partisan Voter Index and strong performance in recent presidential elections. As the sitting representative, Moore secured an uncontested primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Ace Parsi, who narrowly won his May primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Republican with no recent polling or events indicating a shift. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political realignment could theoretically alter the outcome, though the district's voting patterns suggest limited vulnerability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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