Ohio's 3rd congressional district encompasses urban Columbus and surrounding areas with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index, consistently rated Solid D or Safe D by nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democratic Rep. Joyce Beatty, first elected in 2012, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Cleophus Dulaney in the November general election. The seat's structural advantages, combined with Beatty's established fundraising and name recognition, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds, though none have materialized to date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-03 House Election Winner
OH-03 House Election Winner
$57,841 Vol.
$57,841 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$57,841 Vol.
$57,841 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$29,541 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$28,300 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 3rd congressional district encompasses urban Columbus and surrounding areas with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index, consistently rated Solid D or Safe D by nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democratic Rep. Joyce Beatty, first elected in 2012, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Cleophus Dulaney in the November general election. The seat's structural advantages, combined with Beatty's established fundraising and name recognition, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$57,841End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 3rd congressional district encompasses urban Columbus and surrounding areas with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index, consistently rated Solid D or Safe D by nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democratic Rep. Joyce Beatty, first elected in 2012, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Cleophus Dulaney in the November general election. The seat's structural advantages, combined with Beatty's established fundraising and name recognition, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$57,841End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 3rd congressional district encompasses urban Columbus and surrounding areas with a strongly Democratic partisan voting index, consistently rated Solid D or Safe D by nonpartisan analysts including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democratic Rep. Joyce Beatty, first elected in 2012, secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 80 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Cleophus Dulaney in the November general election. The seat's structural advantages, combined with Beatty's established fundraising and name recognition, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds, though none have materialized to date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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