Aisha Wahab holds the leading position in the CA-14 special election market due to her California Democratic Party endorsement and state Senate experience in the overlapping district, which has translated into unified party and labor support ahead of the June 16 primary. The seat opened after Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations, prompting the special primary and potential August 18 runoff in a district where Democrats have historically dominated. Recent polling shows Wahab with double-digit leads over other Democrats like Melissa Hernandez, though the crowded field of candidates could fragment votes and require a runoff. Trader consensus reflects these organizational and polling dynamics in a race with limited time before ballots are cast.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-14 Special Election Winner?
CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Aisha Wahab 90%
Rakhi Israni Singh 11.6%
Victor Aguilar Jr. 7.1%
Wendy Huang 4.7%
Aisha Wahab
75%
Melissa Hernandez
40%
Wendy Huang
5%
Carin Elam
4%
Matt Ortega
18%
Rakhi Israni Singh
13%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
7%
Aisha Wahab 90%
Rakhi Israni Singh 11.6%
Victor Aguilar Jr. 7.1%
Wendy Huang 4.7%
Aisha Wahab
75%
Melissa Hernandez
40%
Wendy Huang
5%
Carin Elam
4%
Matt Ortega
18%
Rakhi Israni Singh
13%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab holds the leading position in the CA-14 special election market due to her California Democratic Party endorsement and state Senate experience in the overlapping district, which has translated into unified party and labor support ahead of the June 16 primary. The seat opened after Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations, prompting the special primary and potential August 18 runoff in a district where Democrats have historically dominated. Recent polling shows Wahab with double-digit leads over other Democrats like Melissa Hernandez, though the crowded field of candidates could fragment votes and require a runoff. Trader consensus reflects these organizational and polling dynamics in a race with limited time before ballots are cast.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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