Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 115-130 million votes, reflecting balanced voter enthusiasm in a competitive generic ballot race where recent YouGov polling shows Democrats' lead narrowing to 2 points as of early April. Record Democratic primary turnout in Texas—smashing recent midterm benchmarks with nearly 4.5 million votes—and surges in states like Illinois signal strong mobilization amid historical midterm averages near 110 million in 2022, tempered by typical off-year dips from presidential cycles. The race stays close without a clear enthusiasm edge, but sustained economic strength, high-stakes summer primaries in battleground states, or shifts in presidential approval could boost turnout toward higher bins or concentrate it lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated125-130m 21%
115-120m 18%
110-115m 14%
120-125m 12%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
5%
85-90m
5%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
2%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
10%
110-115m
14%
115-120m
18%
120-125m
12%
125-130m
21%
130m+
5%
125-130m 21%
115-120m 18%
110-115m 14%
120-125m 12%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$319 Vol.
5%
85-90m
$419 Vol.
5%
90-95m
$1,022 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
2%
100-105m
$782 Vol.
6%
105-110m
$431 Vol.
10%
110-115m
$504 Vol.
14%
115-120m
$1,020 Vol.
18%
120-125m
$371 Vol.
12%
125-130m
$1,194 Vol.
21%
130m+
$245 Vol.
5%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 115-130 million votes, reflecting balanced voter enthusiasm in a competitive generic ballot race where recent YouGov polling shows Democrats' lead narrowing to 2 points as of early April. Record Democratic primary turnout in Texas—smashing recent midterm benchmarks with nearly 4.5 million votes—and surges in states like Illinois signal strong mobilization amid historical midterm averages near 110 million in 2022, tempered by typical off-year dips from presidential cycles. The race stays close without a clear enthusiasm edge, but sustained economic strength, high-stakes summer primaries in battleground states, or shifts in presidential approval could boost turnout toward higher bins or concentrate it lower.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market Opened: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$6,576End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 115-130 million votes, reflecting balanced voter enthusiasm in a competitive generic ballot race where recent YouGov polling shows Democrats' lead narrowing to 2 points as of early April. Record Democratic primary turnout in Texas—smashing recent midterm benchmarks with nearly 4.5 million votes—and surges in states like Illinois signal strong mobilization amid historical midterm averages near 110 million in 2022, tempered by typical off-year dips from presidential cycles. The race stays close without a clear enthusiasm edge, but sustained economic strength, high-stakes summer primaries in battleground states, or shifts in presidential approval could boost turnout toward higher bins or concentrate it lower.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$6,576End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout clusters tightly around 115-130 million votes, reflecting balanced voter enthusiasm in a competitive generic ballot race where recent YouGov polling shows Democrats' lead narrowing to 2 points as of early April. Record Democratic primary turnout in Texas—smashing recent midterm benchmarks with nearly 4.5 million votes—and surges in states like Illinois signal strong mobilization amid historical midterm averages near 110 million in 2022, tempered by typical off-year dips from presidential cycles. The race stays close without a clear enthusiasm edge, but sustained economic strength, high-stakes summer primaries in battleground states, or shifts in presidential approval could boost turnout toward higher bins or concentrate it lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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