Intense competition for House control, driven by a slim Republican majority, Democratic advantages in generic ballot polling, and President Trump's approval ratings near historic lows, is sustaining elevated turnout expectations among traders. Escalating tensions in the Iran conflict and persistent economic pressures have nationalized the contest, while earlier primary data showed stronger Democratic mobilization than Republican participation in many districts. This mix of factors, alongside electorate growth in diverse demographics and robust fundraising, keeps the leading vote bins tightly clustered between 110-130 million with closely matched probabilities. Late-cycle developments such as economic releases, candidate events, or shifts in base enthusiasm could widen participation or suppress it depending on which side capitalizes more effectively.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated125-130m 23%
115-120m 21%
110-115m 20%
120-125m 16%
$29,243 Vol.
$29,243 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
5%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
20%
115-120m
21%
120-125m
16%
125-130m
23%
130m+
5%
125-130m 23%
115-120m 21%
110-115m 20%
120-125m 16%
$29,243 Vol.
$29,243 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
$610 Vol.
1%
85-90m
$619 Vol.
<1%
90-95m
$1,727 Vol.
1%
95-100m
$380 Vol.
3%
100-105m
$1,225 Vol.
5%
105-110m
$931 Vol.
6%
110-115m
$4,892 Vol.
20%
115-120m
$4,697 Vol.
21%
120-125m
$9,341 Vol.
16%
125-130m
$3,367 Vol.
23%
130m+
$1,455 Vol.
5%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Intense competition for House control, driven by a slim Republican majority, Democratic advantages in generic ballot polling, and President Trump's approval ratings near historic lows, is sustaining elevated turnout expectations among traders. Escalating tensions in the Iran conflict and persistent economic pressures have nationalized the contest, while earlier primary data showed stronger Democratic mobilization than Republican participation in many districts. This mix of factors, alongside electorate growth in diverse demographics and robust fundraising, keeps the leading vote bins tightly clustered between 110-130 million with closely matched probabilities. Late-cycle developments such as economic releases, candidate events, or shifts in base enthusiasm could widen participation or suppress it depending on which side capitalizes more effectively.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market Opened: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$29,243End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Intense competition for House control, driven by a slim Republican majority, Democratic advantages in generic ballot polling, and President Trump's approval ratings near historic lows, is sustaining elevated turnout expectations among traders. Escalating tensions in the Iran conflict and persistent economic pressures have nationalized the contest, while earlier primary data showed stronger Democratic mobilization than Republican participation in many districts. This mix of factors, alongside electorate growth in diverse demographics and robust fundraising, keeps the leading vote bins tightly clustered between 110-130 million with closely matched probabilities. Late-cycle developments such as economic releases, candidate events, or shifts in base enthusiasm could widen participation or suppress it depending on which side capitalizes more effectively.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$29,243End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Intense competition for House control, driven by a slim Republican majority, Democratic advantages in generic ballot polling, and President Trump's approval ratings near historic lows, is sustaining elevated turnout expectations among traders. Escalating tensions in the Iran conflict and persistent economic pressures have nationalized the contest, while earlier primary data showed stronger Democratic mobilization than Republican participation in many districts. This mix of factors, alongside electorate growth in diverse demographics and robust fundraising, keeps the leading vote bins tightly clustered between 110-130 million with closely matched probabilities. Late-cycle developments such as economic releases, candidate events, or shifts in base enthusiasm could widen participation or suppress it depending on which side capitalizes more effectively.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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