Surging voter turnout in early 2026 midterm primaries, including record Democratic participation in Texas exceeding 2.2 million votes—the highest for a midterm primary since 1970—and elevated numbers in North Carolina, has propelled trader consensus toward higher House popular vote bands like 130 million+, reflecting enthusiasm amid President Trump's second term and Democratic generic ballot leads in recent polls. Yet, the market remains tightly contested with <85 million and 95-100 million nearly tied, anchored by historical midterm turnout averaging around 110 million in 2022 amid lower mobilization outside presidential cycles. Upcoming primaries in battleground states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, alongside voter registration drives, early voting trends, and party get-out-the-vote efforts, could tip probabilities by signaling sustained engagement or familiar drop-off.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated115-120m 22%
125-130m 21%
110-115m 20%
120-125m 12%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
30%
85-90m
6%
90-95m
3%
95-100m
32%
100-105m
16%
105-110m
9%
110-115m
20%
115-120m
22%
120-125m
12%
125-130m
21%
130m+
31%
115-120m 22%
125-130m 21%
110-115m 20%
120-125m 12%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$319 Vol.
30%
85-90m
$419 Vol.
6%
90-95m
$1,070 Vol.
3%
95-100m
$269 Vol.
32%
100-105m
$782 Vol.
16%
105-110m
$431 Vol.
9%
110-115m
$504 Vol.
20%
115-120m
$1,020 Vol.
22%
120-125m
$371 Vol.
12%
125-130m
$1,194 Vol.
21%
130m+
$255 Vol.
31%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Surging voter turnout in early 2026 midterm primaries, including record Democratic participation in Texas exceeding 2.2 million votes—the highest for a midterm primary since 1970—and elevated numbers in North Carolina, has propelled trader consensus toward higher House popular vote bands like 130 million+, reflecting enthusiasm amid President Trump's second term and Democratic generic ballot leads in recent polls. Yet, the market remains tightly contested with <85 million and 95-100 million nearly tied, anchored by historical midterm turnout averaging around 110 million in 2022 amid lower mobilization outside presidential cycles. Upcoming primaries in battleground states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, alongside voter registration drives, early voting trends, and party get-out-the-vote efforts, could tip probabilities by signaling sustained engagement or familiar drop-off.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market Opened: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$6,634End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Surging voter turnout in early 2026 midterm primaries, including record Democratic participation in Texas exceeding 2.2 million votes—the highest for a midterm primary since 1970—and elevated numbers in North Carolina, has propelled trader consensus toward higher House popular vote bands like 130 million+, reflecting enthusiasm amid President Trump's second term and Democratic generic ballot leads in recent polls. Yet, the market remains tightly contested with <85 million and 95-100 million nearly tied, anchored by historical midterm turnout averaging around 110 million in 2022 amid lower mobilization outside presidential cycles. Upcoming primaries in battleground states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, alongside voter registration drives, early voting trends, and party get-out-the-vote efforts, could tip probabilities by signaling sustained engagement or familiar drop-off.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$6,634End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Surging voter turnout in early 2026 midterm primaries, including record Democratic participation in Texas exceeding 2.2 million votes—the highest for a midterm primary since 1970—and elevated numbers in North Carolina, has propelled trader consensus toward higher House popular vote bands like 130 million+, reflecting enthusiasm amid President Trump's second term and Democratic generic ballot leads in recent polls. Yet, the market remains tightly contested with <85 million and 95-100 million nearly tied, anchored by historical midterm turnout averaging around 110 million in 2022 amid lower mobilization outside presidential cycles. Upcoming primaries in battleground states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, alongside voter registration drives, early voting trends, and party get-out-the-vote efforts, could tip probabilities by signaling sustained engagement or familiar drop-off.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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