The open Senate seat following Democratic incumbent Gary Peters' retirement has attracted a competitive Democratic primary featuring state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, Rep. Haley Stevens, and Abdul El-Sayed, who leads recent polling averages. This field, combined with Michigan's narrow Democratic edge in recent Senate contests, supports the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election outcome over Republican nominee Mike Rogers. Recent head-to-head surveys show the race as a toss-up, with Rogers holding slight leads in some matchups, though Democratic performance in the August primary and broader statewide trends remain key variables ahead of November 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Michigan
$113,776 Vol.
$113,776 Vol.

Démocrate
74%

Républicain
26%
$113,776 Vol.
$113,776 Vol.

Démocrate
74%

Républicain
26%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Senate seat following Democratic incumbent Gary Peters' retirement has attracted a competitive Democratic primary featuring state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, Rep. Haley Stevens, and Abdul El-Sayed, who leads recent polling averages. This field, combined with Michigan's narrow Democratic edge in recent Senate contests, supports the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic general election outcome over Republican nominee Mike Rogers. Recent head-to-head surveys show the race as a toss-up, with Rogers holding slight leads in some matchups, though Democratic performance in the August primary and broader statewide trends remain key variables ahead of November 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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